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Bundesliga Germany

21.02.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

21.02.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg - FC Augsburg

Germany Football

VfL Wolfsburg

2 : 3

Finished

FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - FC Augsburg February 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.41 / 2 3.37
1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 43.5% / X 28.1% / FC Augsburg 28.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 43.5%

X 28.1%

2 28.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%

Over 2.5 54.9%

Under 2.5 45.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.02.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.38 market consensus · line only

X 3.42 market consensus · line only

1 2.21 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.70 market consensus · line only

12 1.34 market consensus · line only

1X 1.34 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.34 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.34 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.87 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.32 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.24 44.6%
X	3.48 28.7%
	3.41 29.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	2.17 46.1%	2.23 44.8%	2.20 45.5%	2.24 44.6%	2.24 44.6%	2.24 44.6%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.49 28.7%	3.30 30.3%	3.42 29.2%	3.48 28.7%	3.48 28.7%
	3.10 32.3%	3.55 28.2%	3.40 29.4%	3.42 29.2%	3.41 29.3%	3.41 29.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.39 41.8%	2.28 43.9%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.43 41.2%	2.30 43.5%
yes	1.58 63.3%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.61 62.1%	1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.71 58.5%	1.71 58.5%	1.70 58.8%
home_away	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.30 76.9%

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg

D L L L D

15.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 RB Leipzig

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Borussia Dortmund

30.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 1. FC Köln

24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:3 Maynts

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 1. FC Heidenheim

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

2 Points

FC Augsburg

W L W W D

15.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 0:2 Maynts

31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:1 FC St. Pauli

24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:1 Bavariya

18.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:2 Frayburg

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - FC Augsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

1 matches total

FC Augsburg

VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

FC Augsburg: 1 (100%)

Biggest win FC Augsburg 1:3 (04.10 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 04.10 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.10 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg

1:3

FC Augsburg