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Bundesliga Germany

14.01.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

14.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg - FC St. Pauli

Germany Football

VfL Wolfsburg

2 : 1

Finished

FC St. Pauli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - FC St. Pauli January 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.66 / 2 4.28
1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 51.5% / X 26.1% / FC St. Pauli 22.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 51.6%

X 26.1%

2 22.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%

Over 2.5 48.8%

Under 2.5 51.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - FC St. Pauli

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.29 market consensus · line only

X 3.66 market consensus · line only

1 1.85 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.98 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.23 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.52 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.93 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.00 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.94 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.86 53.8%
X	3.71 27.0%
	4.37 22.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.82 55.0%	1.84 54.4%	1.89 52.9%	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%
X	3.65 27.4%	3.65 27.4%	3.75 26.7%	3.75 26.7%	3.75 26.7%	3.60 27.8%
	4.30 23.3%	4.45 22.5%	4.57 21.9%	4.10 24.4%	4.35 23.0%	4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.89 52.9%	1.98 50.5%	1.92 52.1%
yes	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.81 55.3%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%	1.81 55.3%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	1.95 51.3%	2.02 49.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	2.03 49.3%	1.99 50.3%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.32 75.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%	1.31 76.3%
home_draw	1.20 83.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.25 80.0%

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg

L L W W D

11.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:8 Bavariya

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:4 Frayburg

13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 Union Berlin

30.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

2.2 Scored

3.0 Conceded

7 Points

FC St. Pauli

D W D L L

21.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 0:0 Maynts

13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 1:1 1. FC Köln

29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 1:3 Bavariya

23.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 0:1 Union Berlin

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - FC St. Pauli

VfL Wolfsburg

1 matches total

FC St. Pauli

VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (26.10 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.10 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg

0:0

FC St. Pauli