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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
Final. 1 match 21.05.2026 18:30 UTC Match prediction
21.05.2026 18:30 UTC Final. 1 match
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - SC Paderborn 07

Germany Football
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 0
Finished
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - SC Paderborn 07 May 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.67 / X 3.93 / 2 4.86
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 56.4% / X 24.1% / SC Paderborn 07 19.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 56.5%
X 24.0%
2 19.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 55.7%
Under 2.5 44.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: VfL Wolfsburg

Main outcome VfL Wolfsburg
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 56.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium Folksvagen Arena (Volfsburg, Germany), 27 800 zriteley (93% pri vmestimosti 30 000)
Referee Benyamin Brand (Geroltskhofen)
Start 21.05.2026 18:30 UTC
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - SC Paderborn 07

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Volfsburg - Paderborn 07, 21 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Germany — Perekhodnye matchi 2025/26, Final. 1 match. Volfsburg - Paderborn 07, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 14
Statistics 22
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
9' 9' Yellow Card | R. Muller Ruben Müller SC Paderborn 07
60' 60' Substitution 1 | S. Klaas | assist/sub out: S. Tigges Sebastian Klaas SC Paderborn 07
60' 60' Substitution 2 | R. Muller | assist/sub out: N. Batzner Ruben Müller SC Paderborn 07
65' 65' Substitution 1 | A. Daghim | assist/sub out: M. Amoura A. Daghim VfL Wolfsburg
65' 65' Substitution 2 | M. Svanberg | assist/sub out: J. Lindstrom Mattias Svanberg VfL Wolfsburg
74' 74' Substitution 3 | Y. Gerhardt | assist/sub out: L. Majer Y. Gerhardt VfL Wolfsburg
78' 78' Substitution 3 | S. Marino | assist/sub out: S. Michel Stefano Marino SC Paderborn 07
82' 82' Yellow Card | S. Castaneda Santiago CastaG±eda SC Paderborn 07
Metric VfL Wolfsburg SC Paderborn 07 SStats
Zablokirovannye udary 3 1 final
Shots off target 8 0 final
Shots on target 6 1 final
Udary vsego 17 2 final
Fouls soversheno 12 16 final
Red cards 0 1 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 4 final
Offsides 1 0 final
VfL Wolfsburg #1 K. Grabara, #4 K. Koulierakis, #17 D. Pejčinović, #21 J. Mæhle, #32 Mattias Svanberg, #3 D. Vavro, #11 A. Daghim, #24 C. Eriksen, #6 J. Belocian, #31 Y. Gerhardt, #26 S. Kumbedi
SC Paderborn 07 #3 J. Sticker, #4 Calvin Brackelmann, #26 Sebastian Klaas, #30 Stefano Marino, #41 Dennis Seimen, #2 Ruben MGјller, #5 Santiago CastaG±eda, #25 Tjark Lasse Scheller, #7 Filip Bilbija, #22 Mattes Hansen, #17 Laurin Curda
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Daghim VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 65
C. Eriksen VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 96
D. Pejčinović VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 96
D. Vavro VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 96
J. Belocian VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 96
J. Lindstrøm VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 31
J. Mæhle VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 96
K. Grabara VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 96
K. Koulierakis VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 96
Kevin Paredes VfL Wolfsburg football.player.minutes_played 11
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 1.17 Fonbet · line only
1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
2 4.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.66 60.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.15 24.1% 3.80 26.3% 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1% 3.80 26.3%
4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0% 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.30 18.9% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.04 49.0% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.15 46.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75 — 1.23 81.3%
Over 2.0 — 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.25 — 1.51 66.2%
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%
Over 3.5 2.70 37.0% —
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1% —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% —
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8% —
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5% —
Under 3.5 1.45 69.0% —
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8% —
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

SC Paderborn 07

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Kleyton Santos Rozherio Maksimilian Arnold Bentse Dardai Patrik Vimmer Yonas Vind Yenson Selt Kilian Fisher Travmirovannye Rafael Obermayr Diskvalifitsirovannye Vini Souza CHAMP Mika Baur CHAMP
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
W L D D W
16.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
09.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 BavariyaBavariya
03.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 FrayburgFrayburg
25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 VfL Wolfsburg
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 SC Paderborn 07
VfL Wolfsburg Team comparison SC Paderborn 07
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Volfsburg Paderborn 07 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 25.05.2026 Germany — Perekhodnye matchi Paderborn 07 –:– Volfsburg Final.
2 match Nakazaniya Ruben Myuller 9' Santyago Kastaneda 82' Lovro Mayer 87' Yona Shtikker 90+2' Yona Shtikker 90+4'

Volfsburg Paderborn 07 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 25.05.2026 Germany — Perekhodnye matchi Paderborn 07 –:– Volfsburg Final. 2 match Nakazaniya Ruben Myuller 9' Santyago Kastaneda 82' Lovro Mayer 87' Yona Shtikker 90+2' Yona Shtikker 90+4'