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Bundesliga Germany

06.12.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction

06.12.2025 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg - Union Berlin

Germany Football

VfL Wolfsburg

3 : 1

Finished

Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - Union Berlin December 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.26 / X 3.34 / 2 3.23
1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 42.1% / X 28.5% / Union Berlin 29.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 42.1%

X 28.5%

2 29.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%

Over 2.5 49.0%

Under 2.5 51.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 06.12.2025 14:30 UTC

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.24 market consensus · line only

X 3.35 market consensus · line only

1 2.27 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.65 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.35 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.13 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.63 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.05 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.30 43.5%
X	3.41 29.3%
	3.34 29.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.22 45.1%	2.26 44.3%	2.35 42.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.27 44.1%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.40 29.4%	3.48 28.7%	3.20 31.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.35 29.9%
	3.20 31.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.31 30.2%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.05 48.8%	2.09 47.9%	2.04 49.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.15 46.5%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.71 58.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.71 58.5%	1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.68 59.5%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.35 74.1%	1.38 72.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.37 73.0%	1.39 71.9%

Match center

VfL Wolfsburg

D L L L W

30.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:3 Bayer Leverkusen

07.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Werder Bremen

02.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 1899 Hoffenheim

25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:0 Hamburger SV

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Union Berlin

L W D D L

29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:2 1. FC Heidenheim

23.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 1:0 FC St. Pauli

08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:2 Bavariya

01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:0 Frayburg

24.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:1 Werder Bremen

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - Union Berlin

VfL Wolfsburg

1 matches total

Union Berlin

VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Union Berlin: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Union Berlin 0:1 (06.04 15:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 06.04 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.04 15:30 UTC

Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg

0:1

Union Berlin