Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
28.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Futbol
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 2
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart 28 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.53 / X 3.81 / 2 2.07
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 27.5% / X 25.5% / VfB Stuttgart 47.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 27.5%
X 25.5%
2 47.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 59.6%
Under 2.5 40.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.07 market consensus · line only
X 3.81 market consensus · line only
1 3.53 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.53 28.3%
Х 3.81 26.3%
П2 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.34 74.6%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.83 54.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.63 61.4%
ТМ 2.5 2.40 41.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.62 38.2%
П2 1.53 65.4%
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
L L
22.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:4 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
VfB Stuttgart
W W
22.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 5:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points