Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
18.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Futbol
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 3
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart 18 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.86 / X 3.66 / 2 2.40
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 33.6% / X 26.3% / VfB Stuttgart 40.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 33.6%
X 26.3%
2 40.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 60.0%
Under 2.5 40.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 2.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.56 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.91 34.4%
Х 3.71 27.0%
П2 2.41 41.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 2.89 34.6% 2.91 34.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.91 34.4% 2.91 34.4%
Х 3.70 27.0% 3.74 26.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.66 27.3% 3.71 27.0% 3.71 27.0%
П2 2.35 42.6% 2.47 40.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.42 41.3% 2.41 41.5% 2.41 41.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.68 37.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.46 40.7% 2.73 36.6% 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.55 64.5%
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
L L L D D
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
21.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:3 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
31.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 MayntsMaynts
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
VfB Stuttgart
W W W L W
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
28.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
19.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:3 FrayburgFrayburg
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart

VfL Wolfsburg
1 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
VfB Stuttgart: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 28.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (28.09 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
2:2
VfB Stuttgart