Match center
Start
20.10.2024 15:30 UTC
20.10.2024 15:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen
2
:
4
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen 20 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.
Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.82 / 2 3.67
- 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 48.1% / X 25.4% / Werder Bremen 26.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 60.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.9%
1
48.1%
X
25.4%
2
26.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
VfL Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.67
market consensus · line only
X
3.82
market consensus · line only
1
2.02
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.87
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.32
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.60
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.47
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.02 49.5% |
| Х | 3.82 26.2% |
| П2 | 3.67 27.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.87 53.5% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.32 75.8% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.47 40.5% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 | 2.72 36.8% |
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
W
D
L
L
05.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
3:1
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
28.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
2:2
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
22.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
3:4
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
14.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
1:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.3
Scored
2.3
Conceded
4
Points
Werder Bremen
L
W
L
W
05.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0:1
Frayburg
Frayburg
29.09 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
4:3
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
21.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0:5
Bavariya
Bavariya
15.09 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
2:1
Maynts
Maynts
2
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.5
Scored
2.5
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals