Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
21.03.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

VfL Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen

Germany Futbol
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 1
Finished
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfL Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen 21 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.41 / X 3.57 / 2 2.79
  • 1X2 market: VfL Wolfsburg 39.4% / X 26.6% / Werder Bremen 34.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 39.4%
X 26.6%
2 34.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 57.1%
Under 2.5 42.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.03.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

VfL Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.58 market consensus · line only
1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.41 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.65 37.7%
Х 3.76 26.6%
П2 2.57 38.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.49 40.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3%
Х 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.72 26.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4%
П2 2.68 37.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.40 41.7% 2.48 40.3% 2.37 42.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.34 42.7%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
VfL Wolfsburg
D L L L D
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
01.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
15.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
2 Points
Werder Bremen
L W W L L
15.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:2 MayntsMaynts
08.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 4:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
22.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:3 BavariyaBavariya
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVfL Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen

VfL Wolfsburg
2 matches total
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Werder Bremen: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Werder Bremen 2:4 (20.10 15:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (2:4, 20.10 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 3

Match history

07.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
1:2
Werder Bremen
20.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
2:4
Werder Bremen