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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
29.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Werder Bremen - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1 : 1
Finished
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - 1. FC Köln November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Werder Bremen.

Line favourite market consensus: Werder Bremen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.72 / 2 2.96
  • 1X2 market: Werder Bremen 42.3% / X 25.6% / 1. FC Köln 32.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 42.3%
X 25.6%
2 32.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 61.0%
Under 2.5 39.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

Werder Bremen - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.72 market consensus · line only
1 2.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.89 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.59 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.29 43.7%
X 3.80 26.3%
3.05 32.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.22 45.1% 2.23 44.8% 2.34 42.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.88 25.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.65 27.4%
2.94 34.0% 3.00 33.3% 3.03 33.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.60 38.5% 2.69 37.2% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.58 38.8% 2.70 37.0%
yes 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Werder Bremen
L W D W D
23.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
07.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:1 MayntsMaynts
24.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
1. FC Köln
L L W L D
22.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:4 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
08.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
02.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 4:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
25.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 0:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points