Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
14.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Werder Bremen - Bayern München

Germany Futbol
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
0 : 3
Finished
Bayern München
Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - Bayern München 14 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.79 / X 5.89 / 2 1.30
  • 1X2 market: Werder Bremen 10.9% / X 16.2% / Bayern München 73.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 71.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 10.8%
X 16.1%
2 73.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 71.1%
Under 2.5 28.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

Werder Bremen - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.30 market consensus · line only
X 5.91 market consensus · line only
1 8.82 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 3.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.25 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.31 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 9.18 10.9%
Х 6.08 16.5%
П2 1.31 76.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 9.40 10.6% 8.60 11.6% 9.05 11.1% 8.00 12.5% 8.50 11.8% 9.25 10.8%
Х 5.50 18.2% 6.40 15.6% 6.05 16.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.75 17.4% 5.90 17.0%
П2 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.36 42.4% 2.28 43.9% 2.38 42.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.36 42.4%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 3.50 28.6% 3.48 28.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
Match center
Werder Bremen
L D L L D
07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:1 FrayburgFrayburg
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
16.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 3:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Bayern München
W D L W W
08.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
31.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
17.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
3.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWerder Bremen - Bayern München

Werder Bremen
2 matches total
Bayern München
Werder Bremen: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bayern München: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Bavariya 0:5 (21.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (0:5, 21.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 9
9 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0:4
Bavariya
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0:5
Bavariya