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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
16.05.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
16.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Football
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
0 : 2
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund May 16, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.11 / X 3.92 / 2 2.08
  • 1X2 market: Werder Bremen 30.4% / X 24.2% / Borussia Dortmund 45.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 30.4%
X 24.1%
2 45.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5 68.2%
Under 2.5 31.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 market consensus · line only
X 3.92 market consensus · line only
1 3.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.77 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.89 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.15 31.8% 3.28 30.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.11 24.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6%
2.00 50.0% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 3.00 33.3% 2.98 33.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.93 34.1% 2.88 34.7%
yes 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.39 71.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.75 — 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.0 — 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 1.38 72.5% —
Over 3.5 1.95 51.3% —
Over 4.5 3.10 32.3% —
Over 5.5 5.50 18.2% —
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1% —
Under 1.5 5.75 17.4% —
Under 2.5 2.95 33.9% —
Under 3.5 1.83 54.6% —
Under 4.5 1.35 74.1% —
Under 5.5 1.14 87.7% —
Match center
Werder Bremen
L L D W L
09.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 3:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:3 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Borussia Dortmund
W L W L L
08.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 3:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
03.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 0:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
26.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 4:0 FrayburgFrayburg
18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 0:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWerder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund

Werder Bremen
1 matches total
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Borussia Dortmund: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Borussia Dortmund 0:3 (13.01 19:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 13.01 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0:3
Borussia Dortmund