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Bundesliga Germany

32 round 02.05.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction

02.05.2026 13:30 UTC 32 round

Finished

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen - FC Augsburg

Germany Football

Stadium Vezershtadion

Werder Bremen

1 : 3

Finished

FC Augsburg

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Werder Bremen — 45%

1 · Werder Bremen45.1%

X · draw26.4%

2 · FC Augsburg28.5%

Model estimate: win Werder Bremen 45.1%, draw 26.4%, win FC Augsburg 28.5%. Model favourite — Werder Bremen.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - FC Augsburg May 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Werder Bremen.

Strongest: Werder Bremen - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.76 / 2 3.60
1X2 market: Werder Bremen 48.5% / X 25.2% / FC Augsburg 26.3%
Glicko: Werder Bremen 45.1% / X 26.4% / FC Augsburg 28.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 36.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 48.4%

X 25.2%

2 26.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%

Over 2.5 61.5%

Under 2.5 38.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 47.0%

Total Under 2.5

Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Stadium Voninvest Vezershtadion (Bremen, Germany), 40 000 zriteley (94% pri vmestimosti 42 358)

Referee Daniel Zibert (Berlin)

Start 02.05.2026 13:30 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Werder Bremen 45%

💹 Market Werder Bremen 4845%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Werder Bremen - FC Augsburg

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Verder - Augsburg, 2 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Germany po futbolu (Bundesliga) 2025/2026, 32 round. Verder - Augsburg, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:3

Events 15

Statistics 24

Lineups 40

min Event Player Team

14' 14' Yellow Card | H. Massengo H. Massengo FC Augsburg

24' 24' Normal Goal | A. Kade | assist/sub out: M. Gregoritsch A. Kade FC Augsburg

36' 36' Substitution 1 | H. Massengo | assist/sub out: K. Jakic H. Massengo FC Augsburg

45+3' 45+3' Normal Goal | A. Kade | assist/sub out: D. Giannoulis A. Kade FC Augsburg

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Cameron Puertas | assist/sub out: S. Mbangula Cameron Puertas Werder Bremen

46' 46' Substitution 2 | J. Milosevic | assist/sub out: J. Njinmah J. Milošević Werder Bremen

46' 46' Substitution 3 | Abdoul Karim Coulibaly | assist/sub out: S. Musah Abdoul Karim Coulibaly Werder Bremen

64' 64' Normal Goal | R. Schmid | assist/sub out: O. Deman Romano Schmid Werder Bremen

Metric Werder Bremen FC Augsburg SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.35 2.57 final

Zablokirovannye udary 5 1 final

Shots off target 6 6 final

Shots on target 4 7 final

Udary vsego 15 14 final

Fouls soversheno 11 4 final

Zheltye kartochki 1 1 final

Offsides 4 1 final

Werder Bremen #2 O. Deman, #19 J. Milošević, #20 Romano Schmid, #30 M. Backhaus, #31 Abdoul Karim Coulibaly, #6 J. Stage, #14 S. Lynen, #32 Marco Friedl, #5 A. Pieper, #18 Cameron Puertas, #3 Yukinari Sugawara

FC Augsburg #1 F. Dahmen, #13 D. Giannoulis, #16 C. Zesiger, #20 A. Claude-Maurice, #38 M. Gregoritsch, #6 J. Gouweleeuw, #30 A. Kade, #32 F. Rieder, #4 H. Massengo, #5 C. Matsima, #19 R. Fellhauer

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Pieper Werder Bremen Dribling popytki 5

A. Pieper Werder Bremen Edinoborstva vyigrano 5

A. Pieper Werder Bremen Conceded golov 1

A. Pieper Werder Bremen Seyvy 0

A. Pieper Werder Bremen football.player.minutes_played 91

A. Pieper Werder Bremen Klyuchevye pasy 87

A. Pieper Werder Bremen Reyting (staryy) 7

A. Pieper Werder Bremen Bloki 1

A. Pieper Werder Bremen Otbory vsego 79

Abdoul Karim Coulibaly Werder Bremen Dribling uspeshno 2

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Werder Bremen 48.5% 45.1% market and model agree

Draw 24.6% 26.4% draw risk

FC Augsburg 26.9% 28.5%

xG - 1.43 : 1.08

Total 2.5 Over 36.4% - Under 63.6%

Model check - - Difference 0.03

Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 45.1% / 26.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,439 / 1,481 Werder Bremen / FC Augsburg

RD 73 / 74 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.60 market consensus · no value · model 28.5%

X 3.76 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.96 market consensus · no value · model 45.1%

Double chance

X2 1.83 market consensus · no value · model 54.9%

12 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 73.6%

1X 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 71.5%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.47 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.44 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.17 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 36.4%

Under 2.5 2.44 market consensus · weak value +55.1% · model 63.6%

Both teams to score

No 2.52 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.93 51.8%	2.02 49.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	2.02 49.5%	1.95 51.3%
X	3.80 26.3%	3.90 25.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.85 26.0%	3.75 26.7%
	3.45 29.0%	3.78 26.5%	3.50 28.6%	3.80 26.3%	3.70 27.0%	3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.60 38.5%	2.53 39.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.44 41.0%	2.48 40.3%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.47 68.0%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%	1.49 67.1%	1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.83 54.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.03 97.1%	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25	—	1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5	1.17 85.5%	1.11 90.1%
Over 1.75	—	1.14 87.7%
Over 2.0	—	1.18 84.8%
Over 2.5	1.50 66.7%	—
Over 3.5	2.25 44.4%	—
Over 4.5	3.85 26.0%	—
Over 5.5	7.00 14.3%	—
Under 0.5	11.00 9.1%	—
Under 1.5	5.00 20.0%	—
Under 2.5	2.50 40.0%	—
Under 3.5	1.62 61.7%	—
Under 4.5	1.25 80.0%	—
Under 5.5	1.09 91.7%	—

Match center

Werder Bremen

Founded 1899

FC Augsburg

Founded 1907

Match center

Werder Bremen

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

FC Augsburg

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Mitchell-Eliya Vayzer Feliks Agu Karl Kheyn Keke Topp Uesli Ade Leonardo Bittenkort Khulian Malatini Travmirovannye Mads Pedersen

Werder Bremen Founded: 1899

FC Augsburg Founded: 1907

Match center

Werder Bremen

D W L L W

26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 1:1 VfB Stuttgart

18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 3:1 Hamburger SV

12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 1:3 1. FC Köln

04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 1:2 RB Leipzig

21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 1:0 VfL Wolfsburg

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

FC Augsburg

D W D D L

25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:1 Bayer Leverkusen

10.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:2 1899 Hoffenheim

04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:1 Hamburger SV

22.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:5 VfB Stuttgart

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.0 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyWerder Bremen - FC Augsburg

Werder Bremen

1 matches total

FC Augsburg

Werder Bremen: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

FC Augsburg: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (20.12 14:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.12 14:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

0:0

FC Augsburg

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Werder Bremen

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 FC Augsburg

31 Games 31

8 Wins 10

8 Draws 7

15 Losses 14

36 Scored 39

54 Conceded 55

32 Points 37

99.83 Attacks 90.42

48.3 Dangerous attacks 39.39

0 Big chances 0

12.84 Shots on goal 12.74

4.13 Shots on target 4.42

Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Anton Kade Mikhael Gregorich 0:1 24' Anton Kade Dimitris Yannulis 0:2 45+3' Romano Shmid Olive Deman 1:2 64' Kristiyan Yakich Marius Volf 1:3 69' Nakazaniya Khan-Noa Massengo 14' Marko Fridl 76'

Verder Augsburg 31 Games 31 8 Wins 10 8 Draws 7 15 Losses 14 36 Scored 39 54 Conceded 55 32 Points 37 99.83 Attacks 90.42 48.3 Dangerous attacks 39.39 0 Big chances 0 12.84 Shots on goal 12.74 4.13 Udary v stvor 4.42 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.52 Uglovye 4.61 1.71 Offsaydy 2.13 10.13 Foly 11.29 51.48 % vladeniya myachom 44.19 2.29 Warnings 2.48 0.13 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Anton Kade Mikhael Gregorich 0:1 24' Anton Kade Dimitris Yannulis 0:2 45+3' Romano Shmid Olive Deman 1:2 64' Kristiyan Yakich Marius Volf 1:3 69' Nakazaniya Khan-Noa Massengo 14' Marko Fridl 76'