Match center
Start
15.03.2026 14:30 UTC
15.03.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen - FSV Mainz 05
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Werder Bremen - FSV Mainz 05 15 марта 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Werder Bremen.
Line favourite market consensus: Werder Bremen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 3.56 / 2 3.43
- 1X2 market: Werder Bremen 45.6% / X 26.7% / FSV Mainz 05 27.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
45.5%
X
26.7%
2
27.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Werder Bremen - FSV Mainz 05
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.44
market consensus · line only
X
3.57
market consensus · line only
1
2.09
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.75
market consensus · line only
12
1.29
market consensus · line only
1X
1.32
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.38
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.32
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.13
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.76
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.09
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.23
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.61
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.11 47.4% |
| Х | 3.70 27.0% |
| П2 | 3.53 28.3% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.06 48.5% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% |
| Х | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.74 26.7% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
| П2 | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.33 42.9% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.67 59.9% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% |
Match center
Werder Bremen
W
W
L
L
L
08.03 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
4:1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
28.02 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
2:0
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
22.02 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
1:2
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
14.02 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0:3
Bavariya
Bavariya
07.02 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0:1
Frayburg
Frayburg
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
6
Points
FSV Mainz 05
D
D
D
L
W
07.03 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
2:2
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
28.02 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
1:1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
20.02 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
1:1
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
13.02 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
0:4
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
07.02 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
2:0
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyWerder Bremen - FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2
matches total
Werder Bremen: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Werder Bremen 2:1 (15.09 15:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 15.09 15:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (01.11 14:30 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
01.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
1:1
Maynts
15.09 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
2:1
Maynts