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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
04.04.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig

Germany Football
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1 : 2
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.72 / X 3.95 / 2 1.88
  • 1X2 market: Werder Bremen 25.5% / X 24.0% / RB Leipzig 50.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 25.5%
X 24.0%
2 50.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 63.3%
Under 2.5 36.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.88 market consensus · line only
X 3.95 market consensus · line only
1 3.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.91 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.58 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.45 29.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.98 25.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7% 4.11 24.3% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4%
1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.56 39.1% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.52 39.7%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.15 87.0% — 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.75 — — 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.0 — — 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.25 — — 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7% — —
Over 3.25 — 2.04 49.0% —
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4% — —
Over 4.5 3.80 26.3% — —
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3% — —
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1% — —
Under 2.5 2.55 39.2% — —
Under 3.25 — 1.88 53.2% —
Under 3.5 1.62 61.7% — —
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0% — —
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7% — —
Match center
Werder Bremen
W L W W L
21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
15.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:2 MayntsMaynts
08.03 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 4:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
22.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
RB Leipzig
W L W W D
20.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 5:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
15.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
01.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
21.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWerder Bremen - RB Leipzig

Werder Bremen
2 matches total
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
RB Leipzig: 1 (50%)
Biggest win RB Leipzig 0:2 (23.11 14:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 23.11 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (10.05 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0:2
RB Leipzig
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0:0
RB Leipzig