Bundesliga Germany

20.09.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

20.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen - SC Freiburg

Germany Futbol

Werder Bremen

0 : 3

Finished

SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - SC Freiburg 20 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Werder Bremen.

Line favourite market consensus: Werder Bremen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.47 / X 3.65 / 2 2.78
1X2 market: Werder Bremen 39.0% / X 26.4% / SC Freiburg 34.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%

1 39.0%

X 26.4%

2 34.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%

Over 2.5 59.2%

Under 2.5 40.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

Werder Bremen - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.78 market consensus · line only

X 3.66 market consensus · line only

1 2.48 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.58 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.48 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.78 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.52 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.51 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.51 39.8%
Х	3.70 27.0%
П2	2.79 35.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
П1	2.44 41.0%	2.51 39.8%	2.45 40.8%	2.51 39.8%	2.51 39.8%	2.40 41.7%
Х	3.70 27.0%	3.75 26.7%	3.66 27.3%	3.70 27.0%	3.70 27.0%	3.40 29.4%
П2	2.75 36.4%	2.85 35.1%	2.78 36.0%	2.79 35.8%	2.79 35.8%	2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.57 38.9%	2.45 40.8%	2.41 41.5%	2.67 37.5%	2.45 40.8%
yes	1.51 66.2%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.59 62.9%	1.59 62.9%	1.58 63.3%	1.58 63.3%	1.57 63.7%
home_away	1.32 75.8%	1.31 76.3%	1.32 75.8%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.48 67.6%	1.48 67.6%	1.49 67.1%	1.49 67.1%	1.44 69.4%

Match center

Werder Bremen

W D L W D

14.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 4:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 3:3 Bayer Leverkusen

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 1:4 Eintracht Frankfurt

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 4:1 1. FC Heidenheim

10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 0:0 RB Leipzig

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.6 Conceded

8 Points

SC Freiburg

W L L L W

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 3:1 VfB Stuttgart

31.08 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:4 1. FC Köln

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:3 FC Augsburg

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:3 Eintracht Frankfurt

10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 2:1 Holstein Kiel

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.4 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyWerder Bremen - SC Freiburg

Werder Bremen

1 matches total

SC Freiburg

Werder Bremen: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

SC Freiburg: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Frayburg 0:1 (05.10 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 05.10 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.10 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

0:1

Frayburg