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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
14.12.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Werder Bremen - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
0 : 4
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Werder Bremen - VfB Stuttgart December 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.83 / X 3.66 / 2 2.35
  • 1X2 market: Werder Bremen 33.6% / X 26.0% / VfB Stuttgart 40.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 33.6%
X 26.0%
2 40.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 60.2%
Under 2.5 39.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 18:30 UTC
Match center

Werder Bremen - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.36 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 2.83 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.61 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.56 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.91 34.4%
X 3.75 26.7%
2.40 41.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.92 34.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.82 26.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8%
2.32 43.1% 2.37 42.2% 2.43 41.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.37 42.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.60 38.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.53 39.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.63 38.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.69 37.2%
yes 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.47 68.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.51 66.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0%
Match center
Werder Bremen
L D L W D
07.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:3 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
23.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
07.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:1 MayntsMaynts
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
VfB Stuttgart
L L D W L
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 0:5 BavariyaBavariya
30.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
09.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
3.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWerder Bremen - VfB Stuttgart

Werder Bremen
1 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
VfB Stuttgart: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Werder Bremen 2:1 (13.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 13.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

13.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
2:1
VfB Stuttgart