AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Supra du Quebec. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
01.09.2026 22:00 UTC
USA. MLS
Supra du Quebec take on Forge in football, in USA. MLS, on 1 September 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to Supra du Quebec: roughly 55% to win. The bookmaker consensus (1 book) implies about 27% for the same outcome. The model puts the chance of a draw at 19%.
Latest form: Supra du Quebec 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost; Forge 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost. Glicko ratings: Supra du Quebec 1410, Forge 1348, a gap of 61 points. The two have met 2 times lately, and the full record is shown below on this page.
Our model is notably more confident in the favourite than the market. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 28-point gap to the market. The favourite's edge is moderate, so a protective market (double chance or draw-no-bet) is steadier than a single outright bet. Key markers: an edge of 61 Glicko rating points, the model's 55% for Supra du Quebec. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Supra du Quebec — 55%
Model estimate: win Supra du Quebec 55.4%, draw 18.7%, win Forge 25.9%. Model favourite — Supra du Quebec.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.27 23.4% | |
| X | 1.98 50.5% |
| 2.70 37.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.46 68.5% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 1.49 67.1% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.6 | 3.45 | 1.85 |
| Winline | 3.8 | 3.6 | 1.93 |
Atletiko Ottava
Galifaks Uonderers
CS Saint-Laurent
Full head-to-head history: Supra du Quebec - Forge
The Supra du Quebec - Forge breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Forge. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
Live odds for Supra du Quebec vs Forge from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.
September 1, 2026.
