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Canada. Premier League
Canada. Premier League
31.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

Canada. Premier League

Cavalry FC - York United

Football
Cavalry FC
Cavalry FC
- : -
Not started
Y
York United
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cavalry FC63%

1 · Cavalry FC ✓ Pick62.9%
market66%
X · draw17.7%
market22%
2 · York United19.4%
market12%

Model estimate: win Cavalry FC 62.9%, draw 17.7%, win York United 19.4%. Model favourite — Cavalry FC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Cavalry FC (odds1.94) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Kavalri: probability 50% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.94)
  • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cavalry FC - York United July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Cavalry FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.20 / 2 7.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 65.6%
X 22.0%
2 12.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Canadian Premier League
League table
Cavalry FC
#230 ptsGP 149-3-225:8
ARRAY
York United
#713 ptsGP 123-4-515:25
ARRAY
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Cavalry FC
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 1.90 Conceded 0.50 xG 1.82 xGA 1.02 Corners 5.1
York United
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.19 Conceded 2.31 xG 1.23 xGA 1.49 Corners 3.4

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Cavalry FC
Rating 1658
York United
Rating 1452

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Cavalry FC - York United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cavalry FC - 62.9% model pick
Draw - 17.7% draw risk
York United - 19.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.9% / 17.7% / 19.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,589 / 1,342 Cavalry / Inter Toronto
RD 146 / 300 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,298-1,881 / 743-1,942 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.50 market consensus · no value · model 19.4%
X 4.20 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 62.9%
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 82.3%
1X 1.06 market consensus · no value · model 80.6%
X2 2.70 market consensus · no value · model 37.1%
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.06 94.3%
x2 2.70 37.0%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity
2.05 48.8%
1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Betcity
Over 2.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity
1.41 70.9%
X 4.20 23.8%
7.50 13.3%
Match center
Cavalry FC
W L L W W
28.07 23:00 UTC Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
Cavalry FC 2:1 Supra du Quebec
25.07 00:00 UTC Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
Cavalry FC 0:1 Vancouver FCVancouver FC
18.07 17:00 UTC Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
Cavalry FC 1:2 Galifaks UonderersGalifaks Uonderers
04.07 18:00 UTC Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
Cavalry FC 3:0 Atletiko OttavaAtletiko Ottava
10.06 21:30 UTC Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
Cavalry FC 5:1 Inter Toronto
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
York United
L D L L L
26.07 19:00 UTC+0 Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
York United 1:3 Forge
17.07 21:00 UTC+0 Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
York United 1:1 Atletiko OttavaAtletiko Ottava
04.07 21:00 UTC+0 Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
York United 0:4 Vancouver FCVancouver FC
10.06 21:30 UTC+0 Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
York United 1:5 KavalriKavalri
07.06 16:00 UTC+0 Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
York United 1:4 Forge
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
3.4 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCavalry FC - York United

Cavalry FC
0 matches total
York United
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history