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Canada. Premier League
Canada. Premier League
01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Not started

Canada. Premier League

HFX Wanderers FC - Forge

Football
HFX Wanderers FC
HFX Wanderers FC
- : -
Not started
F
Forge

HFX Wanderers FC face Forge on August 1, 2026 in the Canada. Premier League.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 HFX Wanderers FC — 55%

1 · HFX Wanderers FC55.3%
X · draw19.2%
2 · Forge25.4%

Model estimate: win HFX Wanderers FC 55.3%, draw 19.2%, win Forge 25.4%. Model favourite — HFX Wanderers FC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1HFX Wanderers FC (odds2.22) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Galifaks Uonderers: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.22)
  • • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HFX Wanderers FC - Forge August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Forge. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.50 / X 3.85 / 2 1.52

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 16.5%
X 23.6%
2 59.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Canadian Premier League
League table
HFX Wanderers FC
#616 ptsGP 154-4-720:24
Forge
#134 ptsGP 1311-1-123:8
Best price across 12 books
1 5.67 1xBet
X 4.20 Betfair
2 1.58 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
HFX Wanderers FC
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.31 Conceded 1.51 xG 1.24 xGA 1.56 Corners 4.5
Forge
W-D-L 9-0-1 Scored 2.01 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.65 xGA 0.96 Corners 4.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
HFX Wanderers FC
Rating 1449
Forge
Rating 1713

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 16.5% @ 5.50 / X 23.6% @ 3.85 / 2 59.8% @ 1.52
Match center

HFX Wanderers FC - Forge

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
HFX Wanderers FC - 55.3% model pick
Draw - 19.2% draw risk
Forge - 25.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 55.3% / 19.2% / 25.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,421 / 1,348 Halifax Wanderers / Forge
RD 182 / 247 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,057-1,785 / 854-1,843 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 market consensus · no value · model 25.4%
X 3.85 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.50 market consensus · weak value +204.4% · model 55.3%
Handicap
2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.80 55.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.70 17.5%
X 2.21 45.3%
2.07 48.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.73 57.8%
Under 1 1.99 50.3%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
Match center
HFX Wanderers FC
L W W L L
24.07 20:00 UTC Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
HFX Wanderers FC 2:3 Supra du Quebec
18.07 17:00 UTC Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
HFX Wanderers FC 2:1 KavalriKavalri
05.07 20:00 UTC Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
HFX Wanderers FC 2:1 FK Pasifik
01.07 18:00 UTC Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
HFX Wanderers FC 1:3 Atletiko OttavaAtletiko Ottava
10.06 21:00 UTC Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
HFX Wanderers FC 0:1 Forge
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Forge
W D W D W
26.07 19:00 UTC+0 Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
Forge 3:1 Inter Toronto
16.07 21:00 UTC+0 Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
Forge 0:0 FK Pasifik
12.07 18:00 UTC+0 Canada: Chempionship
Forge 2:1 CS Saint-LaurentCS Saint-Laurent
08.07 17:00 UTC+0 Canada: Chempionship
Forge 1:1 CS Saint-LaurentCS Saint-Laurent
05.07 15:00 UTC+0 Canada: Kanadskaya Premier League Standings
Forge 2:1 Supra du Quebec
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHFX Wanderers FC - Forge

HFX Wanderers FC
0 matches total
Forge
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history