Canada. Premier League
Vancouver FC - Atletico Ottawa
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Vancouver FC — 48%
Pure model vs market (1 · Vancouver FC): model 57% · market 54% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Vancouver FC 47.8%, draw 19.9%, win Atletico Ottawa 32.2%. Model favourite — Vancouver FC.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Vancouver FC: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.09)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Vancouver FC - Atletico Ottawa July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.67 / X 3.76 / 2 4.23
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Vancouver FC - Atletico Ottawa
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.32 43.1% |
| yes | 1.54 64.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.22 45.1% | |
| X | 2.25 44.4% |
| 4.62 21.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.28 43.9% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 1.60 62.5% |
Form & head-to-head
Vancouver FC
Kavalri
Atletico Ottawa
Kavalri
Galifaks Uonderers
Full head-to-head historyVancouver FC - Atletico Ottawa
Overall statistics
Match history
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The Vancouver FC - Atletico Ottawa breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form