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Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage
Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage
03.08.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage

Costa Rica U21 - Colombia U21

Football
Costa Rica U21
Costa Rica U21
1 : 1
Finished
Colombia U21
Colombia U21

Costa Rica U21 take on Colombia U21 on August 3, 2026 in the Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Costa Rica U21 1-0-4, Colombia U21 2-2-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 24% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Colombia U21 — 57%

1 · Costa Rica U2124.3%
X · draw18.7%
2 · Colombia U21 ✓ Pick57.0%

Model estimate: win Costa Rica U21 24.3%, draw 18.7%, win Colombia U21 57.0%. Model favourite — Colombia U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Colombia U21 (odds1.21) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Colombia U21: probability 50% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.21)
  • • no edge over the line (-33 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Costa Rica U21 - Colombia U21 August 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / X 1.22 / 2 4.90
  • Glicko: Costa Rica U21 24.3% / X 18.7% / Colombia U21 57.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6% 2 books · best price +60.4%
1 7.4%
X 45.6%
2 ✓ Pick 47.0%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CAC Games
League table
Costa Rica U21
#71 ptsGP 30-1-21:5
Colombia U21
#27 ptsGP 32-1-03:1
Best price across 8 books
1 17.75 Marathonbet
X 6.95 Marathonbet
2 1.21 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Costa Rica U21 1 : 1 Colombia U21
117.50
X7.00
21.14

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
15 predictions Choose an outcome
1 0% 0
X 50% 2
2 50% 2
handicap1 handicap2:-1_5 1.52 (3)
Total TB 2.5 1.61 (1) - TB 3 1.96 (1)
total_t2_under total_t2_under:2_5 1.76 (2)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 2.55 (1)
Match center
Start 03.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 6.5% @ 14.00 / X 74.8% @ 1.22 / 2 18.6% @ 4.90
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Draw 50%
📐 Math model Colombia U21 57%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Costa Rica U21 - Colombia U21

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 4 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 57.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.045 / LogLoss 1.677
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 57.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.045 / LogLoss 1.677
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Costa Rica U21 8.3% 24.3%
Draw 16.3% 18.7% draw risk
Colombia U21 75.4% 57.0% market and model agree
xG - 0.86 : 1.63
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 24.3% / 18.7% / 57.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,268 / 1,617 Costa Rica U21 / Colombia U21
RD 248 / 248 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 772-1,764 / 1,121-2,113 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 Fonbet · weak value +179.4% · model 57.0%
X 1.22 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12 3.70 Fonbet · weak value +200.8% · model 81.3%
1X 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 43.0%
X2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 75.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7% 3.70 27.0%
1x 3.80 26.3% 1.14 87.7%
x2 — 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
— 1.01 99.0%
2.10 47.6% 1.01 99.0%
— 1.04 96.2%
1.59 62.9% 1.01 99.0%
— 12.00 8.3%
— 12.00 8.3%
— 10.50 9.5%
— 8.00 12.5%
— 12.00 8.3%
— 2.60 38.5%
— 12.00 8.3%
— 5.10 19.6%
1.65 60.6% 1.01 99.0%
2.20 45.5% —
— 1.25 80.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 0.5 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 2 — 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6% 5.60 17.9%
Over 3 — 8.00 12.5%
Over 3.5 — 9.50 10.5%
Over 4 — 4.70 21.3%
Over 4.5 — 12.00 8.3%
Over 5 — 3.30 30.3%
Over 5.5 — 10.50 9.5%
Over 6.5 — 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 — 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 — 9.50 10.5%
Under 2 — 2.75 36.4%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6% 1.10 90.9%
Under 3 — 1.04 96.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 2.0 gls
2026-08-03 · Costa Rica U21 1:1 Colombia U21
Source: ruscore
Costa Rica U21
L L L W L
2026-08-01 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group B
Costa Rica U21 Costa Rica U21 0:3 Panama U21
2026-07-30 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group B
Costa Rica U21 Cuba U21 1:0 Costa Rica U21
2018-07-24 Central American and Caribbean Games, Group A
Costa Rica U21 Costa Rica U21 1:2 Honduras
2018-07-22 Central American and Caribbean Games, Group A
Costa Rica U21 Costa Rica U21 3:2 Trinidad And Tobago
2018-07-21 Central American and Caribbean Games, Group A
Costa Rica U21 Colombia U20 1:0 Costa Rica U21
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Colombia U21
W W D D L
2026-08-01 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group B
Colombia U21 1:0 Cuba U21 Colombia U21
2026-07-30 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group B
Panama U21 0:1 Colombia U21 Colombia U21
2014-05-30 U21 Toulon Tournament 2014, Group B
England U20 1:1 Colombia U21 Colombia U21
2014-05-28 U21 Toulon Tournament 2014, Group B
Colombia U21 1:1 Qatar U20 Colombia U21
2014-05-26 U21 Toulon Tournament 2014, Group B
Colombia U21 0:1 Republic of Korea Colombia U21
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points