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Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage
Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage

Dominican Republic U21 - Venezuela U21

Football
Dominican Republic U21
Dominican Republic U21
2 : 2
Finished
Venezuela U21
Venezuela U21

Dominican Republic U21 meet Venezuela U21 on August 3, 2026 in the Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Dominican Republic. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dominican Republic U21 1-3-0, Venezuela U21 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 32% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Venezuela U2148%

1 · Dominican Republic U2131.8%
X · draw20.0%
2 · Venezuela U2148.1%

Model estimate: win Dominican Republic U21 31.8%, draw 20.0%, win Venezuela U21 48.1%. Model favourite — Venezuela U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Venezuela U21 (odds1.47) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Venezuela U21: probability 50% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.47)
  • no edge over the line (-18 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dominican Republic U21 - Venezuela U21 August 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Venezuela U21.

Line favourite Fonbet: Venezuela U21. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.50 / X 1.30 / 2 1.06
  • Glicko: Dominican Republic U21 31.8% / X 20.0% / Venezuela U21 48.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 48.0% 2 books · best price +22.1%
1 14.5%
X 32.7%
2 52.8%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CAC Games
League table
Dominican Republic U21
#24 ptsGP 21-1-02:1
Venezuela U21
#53 ptsGP 21-0-13:2
Best price across 7 books
1 4.70 Marathonbet
X 3.90 Marathonbet
2 1.71 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dominican Republic U21 0 : 0 Venezuela U21
13.82
X3.62
21.87

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 8.2% @ 6.50 / X 41.2% @ 1.30 / 2 50.5% @ 1.06
Match center

Dominican Republic U21 - Venezuela U21

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 48.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.972 / LogLoss 1.607
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 48.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.972 / LogLoss 1.607
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dominican Republic U21 20.8% 31.8%
Draw 24.1% 20.0% draw risk
Venezuela U21 55.1% 48.1% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.8% / 20.0% / 48.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,492 / 1,632 Dominican Republic U21 / Venezuela U21
RD 249 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 993-1,991 / 1,133-2,131 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 48.1%
X 1.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.50 Fonbet · no value · model 31.8%
Double chance
12 3.10 Fonbet · weak value +147.9% · model 80.0%
1X 6.80 Fonbet · weak value +252.7% · model 51.9%
X2 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 68.2%
Handicap
2 -1 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.66 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 3.10 32.3%
1x 2.05 48.8% 6.80 14.7%
x2 1.16 86.2% 1.09 91.7%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
1.66 60.2%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.01 99.0%
11.50 8.7%
1.87 53.5%
10.00 10.0%
10.50 9.5%
7.50 13.3%
11.00 9.1%
2.07 48.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.5 1.06 94.3%
Over 2.5 1.72 58.1% 1.25 80.0%
Over 3.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 4.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 5.5 5.40 18.5%
Over 6.5 12.00 8.3%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 6.60 15.2%
Under 2.5 1.99 50.3% 3.45 29.0%
Under 3.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 4.5 1.27 78.7%
Under 5.5 1.10 90.9%
Under 6.5 1.01 99.0%
Match center

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 5.8 (Pari) · X 4.2 (Winline) · 2 1.48 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 5.8 4.1 1.45
Winline 5.8 4.2 1.45
Fonbet 5.8 4.1 1.45
Betcity 5.6 4.1 1.48
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Dominican Republic U21
D W
2026-08-01 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Dominican Republic U21 Dominican Republic U21 1:1 Mexico U21
2026-07-30 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Dominican Republic U21 Guatemala U21 0:1 Dominican Republic U21
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Venezuela U21
W L L W W
2026-08-01 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Venezuela U21 3:1 Guatemala U21 Venezuela U21
2026-07-30 U21 Central American and Caribbean Games 2026, Group A
Mexico U21 1:0 Venezuela U21 Venezuela U21
2018-08-01 Central American and Caribbean Games 2018, Playoffs
Colombia U20 2:1 Venezuela U21 Venezuela U21
2018-07-28 Central American and Caribbean Games 2018, Playoffs
Venezuela U21 1:0 Honduras Venezuela U21
2018-07-25 Central American and Caribbean Games, Group B
Venezuela U21 3:0 El Salvador Venezuela U21
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points