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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings
30.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Standings

Mexico U21 - Venezuela U21

Football
Mexico U21
Mexico U21
0 : 0
Finished
Venezuela U21
Venezuela U21
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mexico U21 — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mexico U21): model 44% · market 27% Δ +17 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Mexico U21 ✓ Pick61.0%
market27%
X · draw21.2%
market59%
2 · Venezuela U2117.8%
market15%

Model estimate: win Mexico U21 61.0%, draw 21.2%, win Venezuela U21 17.8%. Model favourite — Mexico U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico U21 (odds1.92) Score 2:1 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Mexico U23: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico U21 - Venezuela U21 July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.15 / X 1.43 / 2 5.70
  • Glicko: Mexico U21 61.0% / X 21.2% / Venezuela U21 17.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 19.2%
1 ✓ Pick 26.6%
X 58.7%
2 14.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mexico U21 2 : 1 Venezuela U21

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 26.6% @ 3.15 / X 58.7% @ 1.43 / 2 14.7% @ 5.70
Match center

Mexico U21 - Venezuela U21

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 61.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.026 / LogLoss 1.552
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 61.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.026 / LogLoss 1.552
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico U21 62.1% 61.0% market and model agree
Draw 21.1% 21.2% draw risk
Venezuela U21 16.8% 17.8%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 61.0% / 21.2% / 17.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Mexico U21 / Venezuela U21
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.45 market consensus · no value · model 17.8%
X 1.43 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.15 Fonbet · weak value +92.3% · model 61.0%
Double chance
12 2.60 Fonbet · weak value +104.9% · model 78.8%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 82.2%
X2 1.32 Fonbet · no value · model 39.0%
Handicap
2 -1 5.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.98 market consensus · line only
2 0 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Total
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.02 98.0% 2.17 46.1%
yes 10.00 10.0% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 2.60 38.5%
1x 1.09 91.7% 1.03 97.1%
x2 2.45 40.8% 1.32 75.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.98 50.5%
X 2.42 41.3%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.17 46.1%
Under 1.5 1.61 62.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico U21 - Venezuela U21

Mexico U21
0 matches total
Venezuela U21
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history