Match center
Start
29.07.2026 23:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished
Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Group stage
Mexico U21 - Venezuela U21
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:
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Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Mexico U21 — 61%
Model estimate: win Mexico U21 60.9%, draw 18.0%, win Venezuela U21 21.1%. Model favourite — Mexico U21.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Mexico U21 (odds1.73)
Score 2:1
confidence 58%
- • Model backs Mexico U20: probability 58% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.73)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mexico U21 - Venezuela U21 July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico U21. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / X 4.30 / 2 5.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 ✓ Pick
62.3%
X
21.0%
2
16.7%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Mexico U21 - Venezuela U21
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Mexico U21
-
60.9%
model pick
Draw
-
18.0%
draw risk
Venezuela U21
-
21.1%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
60.9% / 18.0% / 21.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,713 / 1,521
Mexico U21 / Venezuela U21
RD
231 / 228
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,252-2,175 / 1,064-1,978
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.40
Fonbet · no value · model 21.1%
X
4.30
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.45
Fonbet · no value · model 60.9%
Double chance
12
1.14
Fonbet · no value · model 82.0%
1X
1.08
Fonbet · no value · model 78.9%
X2
2.35
Fonbet · no value · model 39.1%
Handicap
2 -1
2.02
Fonbet · line only
2 0
4.10
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.70
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.18
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.40
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.15
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.63
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% |
| yes | 1.63 61.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 2.35 42.6% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| 2.13 47.0% | |
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| 3.35 29.9% | |
| 5.30 18.9% | |
| 5.90 17.0% | |
| 1.18 84.8% | |
| 2.02 49.5% | |
| 1.64 61.0% | |
| 1.37 73.0% | |
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.11 90.1% | |
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 4.10 24.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 2 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 3 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Over 4 | 3.10 32.3% |
| Over 4.5 | 3.70 27.0% |
| Over 5 | 5.50 18.2% |
| Over 5.5 | 6.10 16.4% |
| Under 0.5 | 11.50 8.7% |
| Under 1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.60 21.7% |
| Under 2 | 3.95 25.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Under 3 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
Match center
Mexico U21
W
W
Mexico U21
2:0
Costa Rica U20
Mexico U21
3:0
Antigua i Barbuda U20
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.5
Scored
0.0
Conceded
6
Points
Venezuela U21
W
L
Venezuela U21
4:0
Antigua i Barbuda U20
Venezuela U21
0:1
Costa Rica U20
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMexico U21 - Venezuela U21
Mexico U21
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Mexico U21 - Venezuela U21 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form