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Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Group stage
Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Group stage
30.07.2026 23:00 UTC
30.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

Central American and Caribbean Games. U21. Group stage

Mexico U21 - Venezuela U21

Football
Mexico U21
Mexico U21
- : -
Not started
Venezuela U21
Venezuela U21
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mexico U21 — 61%

1 · Mexico U21 ✓ Pick60.9%
market62%
X · draw18.0%
market21%
2 · Venezuela U2121.1%
market17%

Model estimate: win Mexico U21 60.9%, draw 18.0%, win Venezuela U21 21.1%. Model favourite — Mexico U21.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mexico U21 (odds1.73) Score 2:1 confidence 58%
  • • Model backs Mexico U20: probability 58% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.73)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico U21 - Venezuela U21 July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico U21. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.45 / X 4.30 / 2 5.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 ✓ Pick 62.3%
X 21.0%
2 16.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mexico U21 1 : 1 Venezuela U21
11.21
X5.70
210.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Mexico U21 - Venezuela U21

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico U21 - 60.9% model pick
Draw - 18.0% draw risk
Venezuela U21 - 21.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 60.9% / 18.0% / 21.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,713 / 1,521 Mexico U21 / Venezuela U21
RD 231 / 228 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,252-2,175 / 1,064-1,978 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.40 Fonbet · no value · model 21.1%
X 4.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 60.9%
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 82.0%
1X 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 78.9%
X2 2.35 Fonbet · no value · model 39.1%
Handicap
2 -1 2.02 Fonbet · line only
2 0 4.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.15 46.5% 1.73 57.8%
yes 1.63 61.4% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.08 92.6%
x2 2.35 42.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.62 61.7%
X 2.67 37.5%
8.40 11.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.23 44.8%
Under 1.5 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Mexico U21
W W
28.07 00:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Mexico U21 2:0 Costa Rica U20
24.07 21:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Mexico U21 3:0 Antigua i Barbuda U20
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Venezuela U21
W L
27.07 21:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Venezuela U21 4:0 Antigua i Barbuda U20
24.07 18:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Championship KONKAKAF (do 20 let) Standings
Venezuela U21 0:1 Costa Rica U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico U21 - Venezuela U21

Mexico U21
0 matches total
Venezuela U21
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history