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Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Dominican Republic. Group stage
Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Dominican Republic. Group stage
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Dominican Republic. Group stage

Costa Rica (w) - El Salvador (w)

Football
C
Costa Rica (w)
- : -
Not started
E
El Salvador (w)

Costa Rica (w) meet El Salvador (w) on August 1, 2026 in the Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Dominican Republic. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Costa Rica (w) 0-0-1, El Salvador (w) 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Costa Rica (w) — 47%

Pure model vs market (1 · Costa Rica (w)): model 26% · market 17% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Costa Rica (w)46.8%
X · draw20.1%
2 · El Salvador (w)33.1%

Model estimate: win Costa Rica (w) 46.8%, draw 20.1%, win El Salvador (w) 33.1%. Model favourite — Costa Rica (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Costa Rica (w) (odds2.63) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Costa Rica (Zh): probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.63)
  • • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Costa Rica (w) - El Salvador (w) August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: El Salvador (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.50 / X 4.07 / 2 1.54

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 16.9%
X 22.8%
2 60.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 16.9% @ 5.50 / X 22.8% @ 4.07 / 2 60.3% @ 1.54
Match center

Costa Rica (w) - El Salvador (w)

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Costa Rica (w) - 46.8% model pick
Draw - 20.1% draw risk
El Salvador (w) - 33.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.8% / 20.1% / 33.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,318 / 1,729 Costa Rica (w) / El Salvador (w)
RD 230 / 240 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 858-1,779 / 1,250-2,208 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 market consensus · no value · model 33.1%
X 4.02 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.23 market consensus · weak value +144.8% · model 46.8%
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 79.9%
1X 2.27 market consensus · weak value +51.9% · model 66.9%
X2 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 53.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.48 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3%
1x 2.20 45.5% 2.34 42.7%
x2 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.30 18.9%
X 2.32 43.1%
2.04 49.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.66 60.2%
Under 1 2.10 47.6%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5% 2.45 40.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Costa Rica (w)
L
29.07 18:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women Standings
Costa Rica (w) 0:3 Venezuela (Zh)
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
El Salvador (w)
W
29.07 21:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Central American & Caribbean Games Women Standings
El Salvador (w) 1:0 Dominican Republic (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points