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Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Dominican Republic. Group stage
Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Dominican Republic. Group stage
02.08.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
02.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Dominican Republic. Group stage

Jamaica (w) - Mexico (w)

Football
Jamaica (w)
Jamaica (w)
0 : 7
Finished
Mexico (w)
Mexico (w)

Jamaica (w) face Mexico (w) on August 2, 2026 in the Central American and Caribbean Games. Women. Dominican Republic. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Jamaica (w) 1-1-3, Mexico (w) 3-1-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 5% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Mexico (w) — 86%

1 · Jamaica (w)5.4%
X · draw8.5%
2 · Mexico (w) ✓ Pick86.1%

Model estimate: win Jamaica (w) 5.4%, draw 8.5%, win Mexico (w) 86.1%. Model favourite — Mexico (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Jamaica (w) (odds2.31) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Jamaica (Zh): probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.31)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jamaica (w) - Mexico (w) August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Jamaica (w) 5.4% / X 8.5% / Mexico (w) 86.1%

SStats data

Statistics and model

Central American and Caribbean Games
League table
Jamaica (w)
#80 ptsGP 30-0-30:13
Mexico (w)
#27 ptsGP 32-1-08:0
Best price across 12 books
1 51.00 William Hill
X 12.00 Marathonbet
2 1.11 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Jamaica (w) - Mexico (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:7
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 86.1% fact: away hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.030 / LogLoss 0.150
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 86.1% fact: away hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.030 / LogLoss 0.150
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 86.1% fact: away hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.030 / LogLoss 0.150
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 86.1% fact: away hit / ROI 3.0% / Brier 0.030 / LogLoss 0.150
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Jamaica (w) 3.7% 5.4%
Draw 7.6% 8.5% draw risk
Mexico (w) 88.7% 86.1% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 5.4% / 8.5% / 86.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,403 / 1,633 Jamaica (w) / Mexico (w)
RD 210 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 983-1,823 / 1,133-2,132 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 86.1%
X 6.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 91.5%
1X 8.30 market consensus · no value · model 13.9%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 94.6%
Handicap
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.02 98.0% 1.33 75.2%
yes 9.50 10.5% 3.03 33.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7%
1x 7.50 13.3% 9.10 11.0% 11.00 9.1%
x2 — — 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
20.90 4.8%
X 3.87 25.8%
1.24 80.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.84 54.4%
Under 1.5 1.86 53.8%
Match center
Jamaica (w)
L L D W L
2026-07-31 Central American and Caribbean Games, Women 2026, Group B
Jamaica (w) Puerto Rico (w) 1:0 Jamaica (w)
2026-07-29 Central American and Caribbean Games, Women 2026, Group B
Jamaica (w) Jamaica (w) 0:5 Colombia (w)
2026-06-09 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Jamaica (w) Panama (w) 0:0 Jamaica (w)
2026-06-06 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Jamaica (w) Panama (w) 0:1 Jamaica (w)
2025-06-29 Int. Friendly Games W 2025
Jamaica (w) England (w) 7:0 Jamaica (w)
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
2.6 Conceded
4 Points
Mexico (w)
W D L W W
2026-07-31 Central American and Caribbean Games, Women 2026, Group B
Colombia (w) 0:1 Mexico (w) Mexico (w)
2026-07-29 Central American and Caribbean Games, Women 2026, Group B
Mexico (w) 0:0 Puerto Rico (w) Mexico (w)
2026-06-09 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Australia (w) 3:1 Mexico (w) Mexico (w)
2026-06-06 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Australia (w) 0:1 Mexico (w) Mexico (w)
2026-03-07 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Mexico (w) 1:0 Brazil (w) Mexico (w)
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJamaica (w) - Mexico (w)

Jamaica (w)
0 matches total
Mexico (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history