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CFU Club Shield. Quarterfinals
CFU Club Shield. Quarterfinals
28.07.2026 15:30 UTC
28.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

CFU Club Shield. Quarterfinals

Helenites - Metropolitan FA (Pue)

Football
H
Helenites
- : -
Finished
M
Metropolitan FA (Pue)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Metropolitan FA (Pue) — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Metropolitan FA (Pue)): model 35% · market 79% Δ −44 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Helenites17.9%
market15%
X · draw21.4%
market6%
2 · Metropolitan FA (Pue) ✓ Pick60.7%
market79%

Model estimate: win Helenites 17.9%, draw 21.4%, win Metropolitan FA (Pue) 60.7%. Model favourite — Metropolitan FA (Pue).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Helenites (odds5.50) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Khelenits (Usv): probability 50% vs 18% on the line (odds 5.50)
  • • edge over the line +32 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Helenites - Metropolitan FA (Pue) July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Metropolitan FA (Pue). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.60 / X 13.00 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 20.8%
1 14.8%
X 6.4%
2 ✓ Pick 78.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Helenites 2 : 2 Metropolitan FA (Pue)
15.86
X4.40
21.42

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 1:2 · 86'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

86'
4% 7% 89%
Helenites (1) Draw (X) Metropolitan FA (Pue) (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 15:30 UTC
Match center

Helenites - Metropolitan FA (Pue)

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Helenites 16.4% 17.9%
Draw 21.3% 21.4% draw risk
Metropolitan FA (Pue) 62.4% 60.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 17.9% / 21.4% / 60.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,753 / 1,796 Helenites / Metropolitan FA (Pue)
RD 291 / 283 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,171-2,335 / 1,229-2,362 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 60.7%
X 4.27 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.55 market consensus · no value · model 17.9%
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 78.6%
1X 7.80 Fonbet · no value · model 39.3%
X2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 82.1%
Handicap
2 -1 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 4.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.25 30.8% 2.09 47.9%
yes 1.30 76.9% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.01 99.0%
1x 2.55 39.2% 7.80 12.8%
x2 1.11 90.1% 1.05 95.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.60 17.9%
X 2.44 41.0%
1.92 52.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.64 61.0%
Over 1.5 2.28 43.9%
Under 1 2.12 47.2%
Under 1.5 1.56 64.1%
Match center
Helenites
W
24.07 15:30 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup klubov Karibskogo soyuza
Helenites 3:0 St. Pauls United (Snk)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Metropolitan FA (Pue)
W
26.07 18:00 UTC North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: Cup klubov Karibskogo soyuza
Metropolitan FA (Pue) 4:0 North Leeward (Svg)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points