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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 14:00 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap

Apollon Limassol W - Czarni Sosnowiec W

Football
Apollon Limassol W
Apollon Limassol W
- : -
Not started
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Czarni Sosnowiec W

Apollon Limassol W face Czarni Sosnowiec W on August 5, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Czarni Sosnowiec W53%

Pure model vs market (2 · Czarni Sosnowiec W): model 44% · market 53% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Apollon Limassol W23.2%
X · draw24.1%
2 · Czarni Sosnowiec W52.7%

Model estimate: win Apollon Limassol W 23.2%, draw 24.1%, win Czarni Sosnowiec W 52.7%. Model favourite — Czarni Sosnowiec W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Czarni Sosnowiec W (odds2.37) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Charni Sosnovets (Zh): probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Apollon Limassol W - Czarni Sosnowiec W August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Czarni Sosnowiec W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.50 / X 4.00 / 2 1.74

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2% 3 books · best price +5.5%
1 22.5%
X 24.2%
2 53.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League Women
League table
Apollon Limassol W
not in table
Czarni Sosnowiec W
#16 ptsGP 22-0-010:2
Best price across 12 books
1 4.00 BetVictor
X 3.80 Bet365
2 1.80 SBO

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Apollon Limassol W 1 : 5 Czarni Sosnowiec W
14.77
X3.92
21.57

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 21.2% @ 4.50 / X 23.9% @ 4.00 / 2 54.9% @ 1.74
Match center

Apollon Limassol W - Czarni Sosnowiec W

football, Apollon L (zh) - Charni Sosnovets (zh), 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Apollon L (zh) - Charni Sosnovets (zh), gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA sredi zhenschin 2026/2027, 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Apollon Limassol W 22.5% 23.2%
Draw 24.2% 24.1% draw risk
Czarni Sosnowiec W 53.3% 52.7% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.2% / 24.1% / 52.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,708 Apollon Limassol (Zh) / Czarni Sosnowiec (w)
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,126-2,290 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · no value · model 52.7%
X 3.80 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.14 market consensus · no value · model 23.2%
Double chance
12 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 75.9%
1X 1.98 market consensus · no value · model 47.3%
X2 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 76.8%
Handicap
2 -1 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.30 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.65 market consensus · line only
1 0 3.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.08 48.1%
yes 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.15 87.0% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.84 54.4% 2.12 47.2%
x2 1.13 88.5% 1.16 86.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.72 21.2%
X 2.33 42.9%
2.33 42.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.68 59.5%
Under 1 2.11 47.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Apollon Limassol (Zh)LLLWLLWWLW
Czarni Sosnowiec (w)WWWWWWDWLW
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.8 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.8 (Winline) · 2 1.85 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.75 3.75 1.73
Winline 3.75 3.8 1.76
Fonbet 3.75 3.75 1.73
Betcity 3.6 3.8 1.85
Liga Stavok 3.8 3.8 1.77
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Apollon Limassol W
D D D
30.08.2025 Championat
Apollon Limassol W 30.08.2025 Champions League (zh) Apollon L (zh) 2 : 3 Khaybernian (zh) 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. Za 3-e mesto
27.08.2025 Championat
Apollon Limassol W 27.08.2025 Champions League (zh) Apollon L (zh) 0 : 1 Yang Boyz (zh) 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
07.09.2024 Championat
Apollon Limassol W 07.09.2024 Champions League (zh) Apollon L (zh) 2 : 3 Mura (zh) 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Scored
Conceded
0 Points
Czarni Sosnowiec W
D D D
04.09.2024 Championat
04.09.2024 Champions League (zh) Apollon L (zh) 3 : 0 Pyunik (zh) 1-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund Czarni Sosnowiec W
18.10.2023 Championat
18.10.2023 Champions League (zh) Benfika (zh) 4 : 0 Apollon L (zh) 4-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match 1 Wins 0 Draws 4 Losses 1 Scored 2 Conceded 0+0 Kartochki 0 +2 +2 0 +1 0 -2 -1 -2 -3 -2 15 30 45 60 75 Czarni Sosnowiec W
25.07.2026 Championat
25.07.2026 Champions League (zh) Atlon Taun (zh) Czarni Sosnowiec W
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Scored
Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Apollon Limassol W
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Czarni Sosnowiec W
Apollon Limassol W Team comparison Czarni Sosnowiec W
0 Games 2
0 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 10
0 Conceded 2
0 Points 6
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 2
0 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 10
0 Conceded 2

Apollon L (zh) Charni Sosnovets (zh) 0 Games 2 0 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 10 0 Conceded 2 0 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Mallory Mooney 1:0 11' Klaudia Milek 1 18' Natasha Lily Hudson 2:1 40' Iga Witkowska 2 45+1' Krystyna Freda 3:2 50' Patrycja Sarapata 3 79' Poslematchevye penalti 0:1 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 30% 30% 40% Double chance 30% 35% 35% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330776' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Champions League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings