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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala 05.08.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 14:30 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
Finished

Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap

Ferencvaros (w) - PAOK (w)

Football
Ferencvaros (w)
Ferencvaros (w)
2 : 2
Finished
PAOK (w)
PAOK (w)

Ferencvaros (w) go head-to-head with PAOK (w) on August 5, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ferencvaros (w) 5-0-0, PAOK (w) 4-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 48% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ferencvaros (w) — 48%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ferencvaros (w)): model 58% · market 47% Δ +11 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Ferencvaros (w)47.8%
X · draw25.7%
2 · PAOK (w)26.5%

Model estimate: win Ferencvaros (w) 47.8%, draw 25.7%, win PAOK (w) 26.5%. Model favourite — Ferencvaros (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ferencvaros (w) (odds1.86) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Ferentsvarosh (Zh): probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.86)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ferencvaros (w) - PAOK (w) August 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.10 / X 1.22 / 2 7.60
  • Glicko: Ferencvaros (w) 47.8% / X 25.7% / PAOK (w) 26.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7% 4 books · best price +256.8%
1 47.1%
X 26.1%
2 26.8%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 3.65 ↑ 7.10
1X2 X 3.70 ↓ 1.22
1X2 2 1.75 ↑ 7.60

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League Women
League table
Ferencvaros (w)
not in table
PAOK (w)
#46 ptsGP 22-0-06:1
Best price across 13 books
1 2.00 Bet365
X 3.85 Dafabet
2 4.10 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ferencvaros (w)
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 2.12 Conceded 1.23 xG 1.02 xGA 2.16
PAOK (w)
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 2.29 Conceded 1.05 xG 1.85 xGA 1.29

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ferencvaros (w) 4 : 2 PAOK (w)
11.60
X3.94
24.52

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
1 67% ✓ favourite
X 18%
2 15%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1
Per AI data Form:VVVVV / VVVNV H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 23:04 UTC
1 57% ✓ favourite
X 23%
2 20%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Ferentsvarosh ne proigraet v osnovnoe vremya)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 67% 18% 15% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes
Claude 57% 23% 20% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X (Ferentsvarosh ne proigraet v osnovnoe vremya)

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 14:30 UTC
Market 1 12.9% @ 7.10 / X 75.1% @ 1.22 / 2 12.0% @ 7.60
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Ferencvaros (w) 62%
📐 Math model Ferencvaros (w) 48%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Ferencvaros (w) - PAOK (w)

football, Ferentsvarosh (zh) - PAOK (zh), 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Ferentsvarosh (zh) - PAOK (zh), gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA sredi zhenschin 2026/2027, 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ferencvaros (w) 47.1% 47.8% market and model agree
Draw 26.1% 25.7% draw risk
PAOK (w) 26.8% 26.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.8% / 25.7% / 26.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,764 / 1,500 Ferencvaros (w) / PAOK (w)
RD 300 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,165-2,364 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.60 Fonbet · no value · model 26.5%
X 1.22 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 7.10 Fonbet · weak value +239.1% · model 47.8%
Double chance
12 3.70 Fonbet · weak value +174.9% · model 74.3%
1X 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 73.5%
X2 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 52.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.98 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.19 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.19 45.7%
yes 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.23 81.3% 3.70 27.0%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.07 93.5%
x2 1.53 65.4% 1.69 59.2% 1.07 93.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.22 45.1%
X 2.43 41.2%
4.83 20.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.58 63.3%
Under 1 2.30 43.5%
Match center

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.85 (Pari) · X 4.1 (Betcity) · 2 4 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.85 3.65 3.4
Winline 1.74 3.75 3.9
Fonbet 1.85 3.65 3.4
Betcity 1.7 4.1 4
Liga Stavok 1.76 3.75 3.9
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Ferencvaros (w)
W W W W W
2026-05-28 NB I, Women 25/26, Playoffs
Ferencvaros (w) Puskas Academy (w) 0:8 Ferencvaros (w)
2026-05-23 NB I, Women 25/26, Playoffs
Ferencvaros (w) Ferencvaros (w) 6:2 Puskas Academy (w)
2026-05-16 NB I, Women 25/26
Ferencvaros (w) Puskas Academy (w) 0:2 Ferencvaros (w)
2026-05-09 NB I, Women 25/26
Ferencvaros (w) Ferencvaros (w) 5:1 Szent Mihaly (w)
2026-05-02 NB I, Women 25/26
Ferencvaros (w) Ferencvaros (w) 5:1 MTK Budapest (w)
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
15 Points
PAOK (w)
W W W D W
2026-07-25 UEFA Champions League, Women 26/27, Qualification
PAOK (w) 3:0 Neftchi Baku (w) PAOK (w)
2026-07-22 UEFA Champions League, Women 26/27, Qualification
PAOK (w) 3:1 Hapoel Jerusalem (w) PAOK (w)
2026-05-16 1. Division, Women 25/26
PAOK (w) 6:0 Volos (w) PAOK (w)
2026-05-09 1. Division, Women 25/26
AO Agia Paraskevi (w) 0:0 PAOK (w) PAOK (w)
2026-05-02 1. Division, Women 25/26
PAOK (w) 2:0 Panathinaikos (w) PAOK (w)
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFerencvaros (w) - PAOK (w)

Ferencvaros (w)
0 matches total
PAOK (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Ferencvaros (w)
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 PAOK (w)
Ferencvaros (w) Team comparison PAOK (w)
0 Games 2
0 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 6
0 Conceded 1
0 Points 6
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 2
0 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 6
0 Conceded 1

Ferentsvarosh (zh) PAOK (zh) 0 Games 2 0 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 6 0 Conceded 1 0 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly 0:1 7' 1 8' Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 42% 33% 25% Double chance 38% 33% 29% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330772' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Champions League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings