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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala 05.08.2026 17:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 17:00 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap

Koge (w) - FK Riga (Zh)

Football
Koge (w)
Koge (w)
- : -
Not started
ФК Рига (Ж)
FK Riga (Zh)

Koge (w) face FK Riga (Zh) on August 5, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Koge (w) — 84%

Pure model vs market (1 · Koge (w)): model 44% · market 87% Δ −43 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Koge (w) ✓ Pick84.2%
market87%
X · draw8.0%
market7%
2 · FK Riga (Zh)7.8%
market6%

Model estimate: win Koge (w) 84.2%, draw 8.0%, win FK Riga (Zh) 7.8%. Model favourite — Koge (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2FK Riga (Zh) (odds2.45) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs FK Riga (Zh): probability 50% vs 41% on the line (odds 2.45)
  • • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Koge (w) - FK Riga (Zh) August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Koge (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.08 / X 15.00 / 2 15.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2% 2 books · best price +1.4%
1 ✓ Pick 86.8%
X 7.1%
2 6.1%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Koge (w) 1 : 5 FK Riga (Zh)
11.01
X12.70
225.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 18:07 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
X 20%
2 15%
Score3:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 18:11 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
X 14%
2 8%
Score2:0 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1 (win HB Køge)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 65% 20% 15% 3:1 Over 2.5 Yes
Claude 78% 14% 8% 2:0 Over 2.5 No

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 87.4% @ 1.08 / X 6.3% @ 15.00 / 2 6.3% @ 15.00
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Koge (w) 72%
📐 Math model Koge (w) 84%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Koge (w) - FK Riga (Zh)

football, Kege (zh) - Riga (zh), 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Kege (zh) - Riga (zh), gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA sredi zhenschin 2026/2027, 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Koge (w) 86.8% 84.2% market and model agree
Draw 7.1% 8.0% draw risk
FK Riga (Zh) 6.1% 7.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 84.2% / 8.0% / 7.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,917 / 1,940 Koge (w) / FK Riga (Zh)
RD 238 / 224 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,441-2,393 / 1,492-2,388 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 84.2%
Double chance
12 1.01 market consensus · no value · model 92.0%
X2 7.80 market consensus · no value · model 15.8%
Total
Over 2.5 1.13 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 4.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.01 99.0%
x2 7.80 12.8%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% —
1.89 52.9% 1.94 51.6% 2.18 45.9%
1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% —
1.72 58.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.61 62.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 2.5 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% —
Over 4.5 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
Under 2.5 4.80 20.8% 4.90 20.4% —
Under 4.5 1.71 58.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
— 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6%
X 14.00 7.1% 15.00 6.7% 11.40 8.8%
15.00 6.7% 16.00 6.3% 14.50 6.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Koge (w)WWWWWLDWWW
FK Riga (Zh)WWLW
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.05 (Winline) · X 16.5 (Betcity) · 2 25 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.04 13 15
Winline 1.05 11 18
Fonbet 1.04 13 15
Betcity 1.02 16.5 25
Liga Stavok 1.05 11 19
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Koge (w)
D D D
09.09.2023 Championat
Koge (w) 09.09.2023 Champions League (zh) Kege (zh) 3 : 1 KI Klaksvik (zh) 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund
06.09.2023 Championat
Koge (w) 06.09.2023 Champions League (zh) Kege (zh) 1 : 2 KuPS (zh) 1-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund 1 Wins 0 Draws 1 Losses 2 Scored 1 Conceded 0+0 Kartochki +1 +1 +2 0 -1 0 15 30 45 60 75
25.07.2026 Championat
Koge (w) 25.07.2026 Champions League (zh) Riga (zh) 4 : 1 Reksem (zh) 1-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. Final
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
— Scored
— Conceded
0 Points
FK Riga (Zh)
D D D
22.07.2026 Championat
22.07.2026 Champions League (zh) Glentoran (zh) 1 : 4 Riga (zh) 1-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala FK Riga (Zh)
02.08.2025 Championat
02.08.2025 Champions League (zh) Rasing L (zh) 2 : 1 Riga (zh) 1-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. Final FK Riga (Zh)
30.07.2025 Championat
30.07.2025 Champions League (zh) Flora (zh) FK Riga (Zh)
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
— Scored
— Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKoge (w) - FK Riga (Zh)

Koge (w)
0 matches total
FK Riga (Zh)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Koge (w)
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 FK Riga (Zh)
Koge (w) Team comparison FK Riga (Zh)
0 Games 2
0 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 8
0 Conceded 2
0 Points 6
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 2
0 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 8
0 Conceded 2

Kege (zh) Riga (zh) 0 Games 2 0 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 8 0 Conceded 2 0 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 18% 37% 45% Double chance 28% 31% 41% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1330770' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Champions League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings