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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 16:00 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap

ŽNK Mura W - Farul Constanţa W

Football
ŽNK Mura W
ŽNK Mura W
- : -
Not started
Farul Constanţa W
Farul Constanţa W

ŽNK Mura W meet Farul Constanţa W on August 5, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 ŽNK Mura W42%

Pure model vs market (1 · ŽNK Mura W): model 34% · market 43% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market

1 · ŽNK Mura W42.4%
X · draw22.1%
2 · Farul Constanţa W35.5%

Model estimate: win ŽNK Mura W 42.4%, draw 22.1%, win Farul Constanţa W 35.5%. Model favourite — ŽNK Mura W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Farul Constanţa W (odds2.30) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Farul (Zh): probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction ŽNK Mura W - Farul Constanţa W August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: ŽNK Mura W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 4.20 / 2 2.84

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books
1 43.0%
X 22.1%
2 35.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League Women
Best price across 10 books
1 1.86 Dafabet
X 3.80 Betfair
2 3.75 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 44.0% @ 2.16 / X 22.6% @ 4.20 / 2 33.4% @ 2.84
Match center

ŽNK Mura W - Farul Constanţa W

football, Mura (zh) - Farul (zh), 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Mura (zh) - Farul (zh), gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA sredi zhenschin 2026/2027, 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
ŽNK Mura W 43.0% 42.4% market and model agree
Draw 22.1% 22.1% draw risk
Farul Constanţa W 35.0% 35.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 42.4% / 22.1% / 35.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,708 Mura (Zh) / Farul Constanta (w)
RD 350 / 299 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,111-2,305 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.66 market consensus · no value · model 35.5%
X 4.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.11 market consensus · no value · model 42.4%
Double chance
12 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 77.9%
1X 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 64.5%
X2 1.55 market consensus · no value · model 57.6%
Handicap
2 +1 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.06 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.45 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.28 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.28 43.9%
yes 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.09 91.7% 1.19 84.0%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.42 70.4%
x2 1.47 68.0% 1.62 61.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.71 36.9%
X 2.34 42.7%
3.65 27.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.63 61.4%
Over 1.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 1 2.20 45.5%
Under 1.5 1.58 63.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Mura (Zh)LLLWLWLLWW
Farul Constanta (w)WWWWWWWLDD
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.77 (Pari) · X 3.7 (Pari) · 2 3.6 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.77 3.7 3.6
Fonbet 1.77 3.7 3.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison
ŽNK Mura W
D D D
30.08.2025 Championat
ŽNK Mura W 30.08.2025 Champions League (zh) Mura (zh) 0 : 2 GKS Katovitse (zh) 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. Final
27.08.2025 Championat
ŽNK Mura W 27.08.2025 Champions League (zh) Mura (zh) 3 : 2 Spartak Miyava (zh) 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
26.09.2024 Championat
ŽNK Mura W 26.09.2024 Champions League (zh) Mura (zh) 0 : 5 Sankt-Pelten (zh) 4-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 2-y match
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Scored
Conceded
0 Points
Farul Constanţa W
D D D
19.09.2024 Championat
19.09.2024 Champions League (zh) Sankt-Pelten (zh) 3 : 0 Mura (zh) 4-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1-y match Farul Constanţa W
07.09.2024 Championat
07.09.2024 Champions League (zh) Apollon L (zh) 2 : 3 Mura (zh) 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund 2 Wins 0 Draws 3 Losses 1.2 Scored 2.8 Conceded 0+0 Kartochki 0 +2 +1 +2 0 +1 -4 0 -2 -1 -3 -4 15 30 45 60 75 Farul Constanţa W
30.08.2025 Championat
30.08.2025 Champions League (zh) Lanchkhuti (zh) Farul Constanţa W
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Scored
Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 ŽNK Mura W
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Farul Constanţa W
ŽNK Mura W Team comparison Farul Constanţa W
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Mura (zh) Farul (zh) 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 67% 33% 0% Double chance 50% 33% 17% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1328706' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Champions League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings