Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
ŽNK Mura W - Farul Constanţa W
ŽNK Mura W meet Farul Constanţa W on August 5, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap.
Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 ŽNK Mura W — 42%
Pure model vs market (1 · ŽNK Mura W): model 34% · market 43% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win ŽNK Mura W 42.4%, draw 22.1%, win Farul Constanţa W 35.5%. Model favourite — ŽNK Mura W.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Farul (Zh): probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.30)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction ŽNK Mura W - Farul Constanţa W August 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 4.20 / 2 2.84
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
UEFA Champions League WomenHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
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ŽNK Mura W - Farul Constanţa W
football, Mura (zh) - Farul (zh), 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Mura (zh) - Farul (zh), gde smotret pryamoy efir. Champions League UEFA sredi zhenschin 2026/2027, 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala.
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.28 43.9% |
| yes | 1.56 64.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.30 76.9% | 1.42 70.4% |
| x2 | 1.47 68.0% | 1.62 61.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.71 36.9% | |
| X | 2.34 42.7% |
| 3.65 27.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 2 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.77 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| Fonbet | 1.77 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
ŽNK Mura W
Farul Constanţa W
Full head-to-head historyŽNK Mura W - Farul Constanţa W
Match history
Mura (zh) Farul (zh) 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 67% 33% 0% Double chance 50% 33% 17% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1328706' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Champions League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings
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The ŽNK Mura W - Farul Constanţa W breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form