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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 11:00 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
Finished

Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap

SFK 2000 W - PSV/Eindhoven W

Football
SFK 2000 W
SFK 2000 W
2 : 3
Finished
PSV/Eindhoven W
PSV/Eindhoven W

SFK 2000 W take on PSV/Eindhoven W on August 5, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 7% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 PSV/Eindhoven W81%

Pure model vs market (2 · PSV/Eindhoven W): model 43% · market 83% Δ −40 pp model estimates below the market

1 · SFK 2000 W7.5%
market6%
X · draw11.6%
market11%
2 · PSV/Eindhoven W ✓ Pick80.9%
market83%

Model estimate: win SFK 2000 W 7.5%, draw 11.6%, win PSV/Eindhoven W 80.9%. Model favourite — PSV/Eindhoven W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2PSV/Eindhoven W (odds2.29) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs PSV (Zh): probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.29)
  • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction SFK 2000 W - PSV/Eindhoven W August 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like PSV/Eindhoven W.

Line favourite market consensus: PSV/Eindhoven W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 15.00 / X 13.90 / 2 1.11
  • Glicko: SFK 2000 W 7.5% / X 11.6% / PSV/Eindhoven W 80.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books · best price +5.7%
1 5.8%
X 10.9%
2 ✓ Pick 83.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League Women
Best price across 8 books
1 23.00 Betfair
X 10.75 Marathonbet
2 1.11 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
SFK 2000 W
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 2.08 Conceded 1.51
PSV/Eindhoven W
W-D-L 2-0-4 Scored 1.12 Conceded 2.23 xG 1.43 xGA 1.71

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

SFK 2000 W 1 : 2 PSV/Eindhoven W
119.50
X11.50
21.03

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Market 1 6.4% @ 15.00 / X 6.9% @ 13.90 / 2 86.7% @ 1.11
Match center

SFK 2000 W - PSV/Eindhoven W

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi SFK 2000 (zh) - PSV Eyndkhoven (zh), 5 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Champions League UEFA sredi zhenschin 2026/2027, 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala. SFK 2000 (zh) - PSV Eyndkhoven (zh), kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 80.9% fact: away hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.055 / LogLoss 0.211
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 80.9% fact: away hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.055 / LogLoss 0.211
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 80.9% fact: away hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.055 / LogLoss 0.211
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 80.9% fact: away hit / ROI 11.0% / Brier 0.055 / LogLoss 0.211
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
SFK 2000 W 5.8% 7.5%
Draw 10.9% 11.6% draw risk
PSV/Eindhoven W 83.3% 80.9% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 7.5% / 11.6% / 80.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,699 Saraevo-2000 (Zh) / PSV (Zh)
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,117-2,281 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 80.9%
X 8.25 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 88.4%
1X 5.05 market consensus · no value · model 19.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.02 market consensus · line only
1 0 9.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.69 59.2%
yes 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.04 96.2%
1x 4.60 21.7% 5.50 18.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
14.70 6.8%
X 4.52 22.1%
1.28 78.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 2 2.04 49.0%
Under 1.5 2.04 49.0%
Under 2 1.73 57.8%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Saraevo-2000 (Zh)LLDDWLLWWL
PSV (Zh)WWWWWDWWWW
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 23 (Betcity) · X 10 (Betcity) · 2 1.1 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 16 7.2 1.1
Winline 20 9.2 1.08
Fonbet 16 7.2 1.1
Betcity 23 10 1.07
Liga Stavok 19 8.8 1.08
Source: ruscore · line comparison
SFK 2000 W
D D D
30.08.2025 Championat
SFK 2000 W 30.08.2025 Champions League (zh) SFK 2000 (zh) 5 : 0 Lyuboten (zh) 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. Za 3-e mesto
27.08.2025 Championat
SFK 2000 W 27.08.2025 Champions League (zh) SFK 2000 (zh) 1 : 2 DV Aud-Kheverle Leven (zh) 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
07.09.2024 Championat
SFK 2000 W 07.09.2024 Champions League (zh) Benfika (zh) 4 : 0 SFK 2000 (zh) 3-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Scored
Conceded
0 Points
PSV/Eindhoven W
D D D
04.09.2024 Championat
04.09.2024 Champions League (zh) SFK 2000 (zh) 3 : 0 KI Klaksvik (zh) 1-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund PSV/Eindhoven W
09.09.2023 Championat
09.09.2023 Champions League (zh) SFK 2000 (zh) 5 : 3 Flora (zh) 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund 3 Wins 0 Draws 2 Losses 2.4 Scored 1.4 Conceded 0+0 Kartochki +2 +3 +1 +3 +1 +2 -3 -2 0 -2 0 15 30 45 60 75 PSV/Eindhoven W
30.08.2025 Championat
30.08.2025 Champions League (zh) Metallist 1925 (zh) PSV/Eindhoven W
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Scored
Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 SFK 2000 W
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 PSV/Eindhoven W
SFK 2000 W Team comparison PSV/Eindhoven W
2000 (zh) PSV Eyndkhoven (zh) 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
2000 (zh) PSV Eyndkhoven (zh) 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

SFK 2000 (zh) PSV Eyndkhoven (zh) 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Amela Krso 1:0 31' Chimera Ripa 1 38' Josefine Funch 1:2 45' Zhanis Kayman 1:3 74' Dajana Spasojevic 2:3 78' Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 29% 14% 57% Double chance 22% 42% 36% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1328702' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Champions League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings