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Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap
2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala 05.08.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 11:00 UTC 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala
Finished

Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap

Vålerenga W - Malmö FF W

Football
Vålerenga W
Vålerenga W
0 : 1
Finished
Malmö FF W
Malmö FF W

Vålerenga W take on Malmö FF W on August 5, 2026 in the Europe: Champions League Women - Qualifying - vtoroy etap.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 35% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Malmö FF W — 39%

Pure model vs market (2 · Malmö FF W): model 44% · market 38% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Vålerenga W35.4%
X · draw26.0%
2 · Malmö FF W38.6%

Model estimate: win Vålerenga W 35.4%, draw 26.0%, win Malmö FF W 38.6%. Model favourite — Malmö FF W.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Vålerenga W (odds2.52) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Volerenga (Zh): probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.52)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vålerenga W - Malmö FF W August 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Malmö FF W.

Line favourite Fonbet: Malmö FF W. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.61 / X 7.70 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Vålerenga W 35.4% / X 26.0% / Malmö FF W 38.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2% 3 books
1 35.6%
X 26.4%
2 38.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.70 ↑ 33.00
1X2 X 3.35 ↑ 7.70
1X2 2 2.35 ↓ 1.02

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Champions League Women
Best price across 11 books
1 2.65 Dafabet
X 3.60 Betfair
2 2.45 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Vålerenga W 2 : 2 Malmö FF W
12.52
X3.48
22.33

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 22:52 UTC
1 47% ✓ favourite
X 25%
2 28%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X
Per AI data H2H: 0-3
Claude updated03.08.2026 22:56 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 32%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5 golov

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 47% 25% 28% 1:0 Under 2.5 No 1X
Claude 42% 26% 32% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5 golov

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 11:00 UTC
Market 1 25.7% @ 2.61 / X 8.7% @ 7.70 / 2 65.6% @ 1.02
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Vålerenga W 45%
📐 Math model Malmö FF W 39%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Vålerenga W - Malmö FF W

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi Volerenga (zh) - Malme (zh), 5 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Champions League UEFA sredi zhenschin 2026/2027, 2-y kvalifikatsionnyy raund. 1/2 finala. Volerenga (zh) - Malme (zh), kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 38.6% fact: away hit / ROI 143.0% / Brier 0.570 / LogLoss 0.952
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 38.6% fact: away hit / ROI 143.0% / Brier 0.570 / LogLoss 0.952
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vålerenga W 35.5% 35.4%
Draw 26.2% 26.0% draw risk
Malmö FF W 38.3% 38.6% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 35.4% / 26.0% / 38.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,313 / 1,522 Valerenga (w) / Malmo (w)
RD 247 / 230 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 818-1,807 / 1,063-1,982 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 38.6%
X 7.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.55 market consensus · no value · model 35.4%
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 74.0%
1X 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +483.4% · model 61.4%
X2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 64.6%
Handicap
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.89 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.14 87.7% 2.38 42.0%
yes 4.70 21.3% 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.15 87.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.36 73.5% 1.49 67.1% 9.50 10.5%
x2 1.31 76.3% 1.44 69.4% 1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.23 31.0%
X 2.35 42.6%
2.98 33.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.60 62.5%
Over 1.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 1 2.26 44.3%
Under 1.5 1.58 63.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Valerenga (w)LLLLWWLWWW
Malmo (w)DLWWDWDLLW
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.1 (Winline) · X 3.9 (Betcity) · 2 3.1 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.93 3.75 3.05
Winline 2.1 3.55 3.1
Fonbet 1.93 3.75 3.05
Betcity 2.03 3.9 3
Liga Stavok 2.09 3.5 3.05
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Vålerenga W
D D
17.12.2025 Championat
Vålerenga W 17.12.2025 Champions League (zh) Bavariya (zh) 3 : 0 Volerenga (zh) Obschiy etap. 6-y Round
10.12.2025 Championat
Vålerenga W 10.12.2025 Champions League (zh) Volerenga (zh) 0 : 1 Parizh (zh) Obschiy etap. 5-y Round
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
— Scored
— Conceded
0 Points
Malmö FF W
D D D
19.11.2025 Championat
19.11.2025 Champions League (zh) Volerenga (zh) 2 Sankt-Pelten (zh) Obschiy etap. 4-y Round Malmö FF W
11.11.2025 Championat
11.11.2025 Champions League (zh) Roma (zh) 0 : 1 Volerenga (zh) Obschiy etap. 3-y Round Malmö FF W
15.10.2025 Championat
15.10.2025 Champions League (zh) Volerenga (zh) 1 : 2 Volfsburg (zh) Obschiy etap. 2-y Round 1 Wins 1 Draws 3 Losses 0.8 Scored 1.4 Conceded 4+1 Kartochki +1 +1 +1 0 +1 0 -2 0 -4 0 -1 15 30 45 60 75 No dannykh Vystuplenie v turnire Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Volerenga (zh) Malme (zh) 0 Games 0 Malmö FF W
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
— Scored
— Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVålerenga W - Malmö FF W

Vålerenga W
0 matches total
Malmö FF W
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Vålerenga W
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Malmö FF W
Vålerenga W Team comparison Malmö FF W
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Volerenga (zh) Malme (zh) 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Aelvali Lindstroem 0:1 33' Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 31% 31% 38% Double chance 31% 34% 35% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1328708' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Champions League (zh) Turnirnaya Standings