Czech. Cup. Round of 256
Vyshegrad - Gostoun
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Gostoun — 47%
Pure model vs market (2 · Gostoun): model 50% · market 47% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Vyshegrad 32.8%, draw 19.9%, win Gostoun 47.2%. Model favourite — Gostoun.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Vyshegrad: probability 57% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.75)
- • edge over the line +20 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Vyshegrad - Gostoun July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.80 / X 4.65 / 2 1.97
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Vyshegrad - Gostoun
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% |
| 1x | 1.71 58.5% | 1.78 56.2% |
| x2 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.53 28.3% | |
| X | 2.55 39.2% |
| 2.35 42.6% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.78 56.2% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | — | |
| — | — | 1.93 51.8% | |
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | — |
Team To Score First
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.17 46.1% | |
| X | 27.00 3.7% |
| 1.72 58.1% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 3 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Winline | 2.85 | 4.2 | 1.95 |
| Betcity | 2.75 | 4.6 | 1.93 |
| Liga Stavok | 2.9 | 4.2 | 1.97 |
Full head-to-head historyVyshegrad - Gostoun
Match history
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The Vyshegrad - Gostoun breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form