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Czechia: First League Standings

01.08.2026 18:00 UTC

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Czechia: First League Standings

Plzen - Zbrojovka Brno

Football

Plzen

- : -

Not started

Zbrojovka Brno

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Plzen — 63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Plzen): model 28% · market 62% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Plzen ✓ Pick63.4%

market62%

X · draw20.0%

market23%

2 · Zbrojovka Brno16.6%

market15%

Model estimate: win Plzen 63.4%, draw 20.0%, win Zbrojovka Brno 16.6%. Model favourite — Plzen.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Plzen (odds1.39) Score 2:1 confidence 52%

• Model backs Viktoriya Plzen: probability 52% vs 72% on the line (odds 1.39)
• no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Plzen - Zbrojovka Brno August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Plzen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.13 / 2 6.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%

1 ✓ Pick 62.1%

X 23.3%

2 14.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Czech Liga

League table

Plzen

#140 ptsGP 10-0-11:3

ARRAY

Zbrojovka Brno

#33 ptsGP 11-0-03:1

ARRAY

Best price across 12 books

1 1.50 Betano

X 4.80 Dafabet

2 7.50 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Plzen

W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.39 Conceded 1.06 xG 1.75 xGA 1.15 Corners 6.4

Zbrojovka Brno

W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.53 Conceded 1.32 xG 1.21 xGA 1.74 Corners 6.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Plzen

Rating 1528 xG 1.87 Win 59%

Zbrojovka Brno

Rating 1493 xG 0.95 Win 19%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC

Market 1 62.1% @ 1.55 / X 23.3% @ 4.13 / 2 14.6% @ 6.60

Match center

Plzen - Zbrojovka Brno

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Plzen 65.7% 63.4% market and model agree

Draw 20.0% 20.0% draw risk

Zbrojovka Brno 14.4% 16.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 63.4% / 20.0% / 16.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,300 / 1,658 Viktoria Plzen / Zbroyovka Brno

RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 717-1,882 / 1,076-2,240 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.37 market consensus · no value · model 16.6%

X 3.91 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.52 market consensus · no value · model 63.4%

Double chance

12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 80.0%

1X 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 83.4%

X2 2.38 market consensus · no value · model 36.6%

Handicap

2 +1 1.94 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.78 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.26 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	2.26 44.3%
yes	1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.21 82.6%	1.24 80.7%
1x	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%
x2	2.40 41.7%	2.36 42.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.94 51.6%
X	2.58 38.8%
	5.60 17.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.17 46.1%
Under 1.5	1.62 61.7%

Match center

Plzen

25.07 13:00 UTC Czechia: First League Standings

Plzen 1:3 Slovan Liberets

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

3.0 Conceded

0 Points

Zbrojovka Brno

25.07 16:00 UTC Czechia: First League Standings

Zbrojovka Brno 3:1 Sparta Praga

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPlzen - Zbrojovka Brno

Plzen

0 matches total

Zbrojovka Brno

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Plzen - Zbrojovka Brno

AI match prediction Plzen - Zbrojovka Brno August 1, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Plzen - Zbrojovka Brno

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history