Montenegro: First League Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Mornar Bar — 50%
Pure model vs market (2 · Mornar Bar): model 25% · market 52% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ezero 21.2%, draw 28.4%, win Mornar Bar 50.3%. Model favourite — Mornar Bar.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.87 53.5% | 1.93 51.8% |
| x2 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | |
| 1.27 78.7% | 1.27 78.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.45 40.8% | 2.47 40.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.47 68.0% | 1.48 67.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 20.8% | 4.80 20.8% | |
| X | 3.17 31.6% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 1.76 56.8% | 1.78 56.2% |
Ezero
Iskra
Full head-to-head historyEzero - Mornar Bar
The Ezero - Mornar Bar breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
