Montenegro: First League Standings
Jezero take on Mornar on August 2, 2026 in the Montenegro: First League Standings.
Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Mornar — 50%
Pure model vs market (2 · Mornar): model 25% · market 52% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Jezero 21.3%, draw 28.4%, win Mornar 50.3%. Model favourite — Mornar.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% |
| yes | 2.19 45.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.88 53.2% | 1.93 51.8% |
| x2 | 1.13 88.5% | 1.15 87.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.60 17.9% | |
| X | 1.87 53.5% |
| 2.51 39.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.54 64.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.32 43.1% |
Jezero
Iskra
Full head-to-head historyJezero - Mornar
The Jezero - Mornar breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
