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Montenegro: First League Standings
Montenegro: First League Standings
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Not started

Montenegro: First League Standings

Petrovac - Bokelj

Football
Petrovac
Petrovac
- : -
Not started
B
Bokelj

Petrovac face Bokelj on August 1, 2026 in the Montenegro: First League Standings.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Petrovac50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Petrovac): model 33% · market 51% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Petrovac50.2%
X · draw28.6%
2 · Bokelj21.3%

Model estimate: win Petrovac 50.2%, draw 28.6%, win Bokelj 21.3%. Model favourite — Petrovac.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.16) Score 1:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.16)
  • edge over the line +18 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Petrovac - Bokelj August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Petrovac. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.20 / 2 4.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 51.4%
X 28.9%
2 19.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

First League
Best price across 9 books
1 1.87 Dafabet
X 3.20 Betano
2 4.61 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Petrovac
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.22 xGA 1.00
Bokelj
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.10 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.19 xGA 1.19

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Petrovac
Rating 1535 xG 1.37 Win 48%
Bokelj
Rating 1488 xG 0.88 Win 24%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Petrovac 1 : 1 Bokelj
11.74
X3.16
24.76

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 51.4% @ 1.80 / X 28.9% @ 3.20 / 2 19.7% @ 4.70
Match center

Petrovac - Bokelj

Form 0/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Petrovac 51.3% 50.2% market and model agree
Draw 28.9% 28.6% draw risk
Bokelj 19.8% 21.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.2% / 28.6% / 21.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,723 Petrovac / Bokelj
RD 350 / 213 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,296-2,150 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.66 market consensus · no value · model 21.3%
X 3.19 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.78 market consensus · no value · model 50.2%
Double chance
12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 71.4%
1X 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 78.7%
X2 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 49.8%
Handicap
2 +1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.13 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.50 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.58 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.58 63.3%
yes 2.23 44.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0%
x2 1.86 53.8% 1.90 52.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.42 41.3%
X 1.91 52.4%
5.70 17.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.54 64.9%
Over 1 2.33 42.9%
Under 0.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 1 1.54 64.9%
Match center
Bokelj
W D W W
19.07 16:30 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Bokelj 1:0 Otrant
18.07 14:30 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Bokelj 0:0 Edinstvo UbEdinstvo Ub
03.06 13:30 UTC+0 Montenegro: First League - Ponizhenie (Playoff)
Bokelj 2:0 Grbal
24.05 18:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Bokelj 1:0 Dechich Tuzi
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPetrovac - Bokelj

Petrovac
0 matches total
Bokelj
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history