Union San Felipe face Universidad de Chile on August 5, 2026 in the Chile: Copa Chile Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Union San Felipe 1-2-0, Universidad de Chile 2-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Universidad de Chile, an implied 63% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2Universidad de Chile — 61%
Pure model vs market (2 · Universidad de Chile): model 42% · market 62%Δ −20 ppmodel estimates below the market
61%2
1 · Union San Felipe17.0%
market16%
X · draw21.8%
market22%
2 · Universidad de Chile ✓ Pick61.1%
market62%
Model estimate: win Union San Felipe 17.0%, draw 21.8%, win Universidad de Chile 61.1%. Model favourite — Universidad de Chile.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Union San Felipe (odds2.56)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs San-Felipe: probability 50% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.56)
•edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Union San Felipe - Universidad de Chile August 5, 2026
Football math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Universidad de Chile.
Line favourite market consensus: Universidad de Chile. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Copa Chile
League table
Union San Felipe
#197 ptsGP 52-1-26:7
Universidad de Chile
#810 ptsGP 53-1-112:7
Best price
across 12 books
16.601xBet
X4.40Betano
21.5010Bet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Union San Felipe
Rating 1562xG 0.82Win 15%
Universidad de Chile
Rating 1716xG 1.98Win 65%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Union San Felipe1:3Universidad de Chile
15.80
X3.98
21.48
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 23:39 UTC
124%
X26%
250%✓ favourite
Score0:2Total goals: TM 2.5BTTS:NetBet:P2
Per AI dataForm:PPNN / VPVPNH2H: 0-2Injuries:netKey:neutral_field
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 23:43 UTC
125%
X26%
249%✓ favourite
Score0:1Total goals: Under 3.5BTTS:NoBet:Double chance X2 (draw or win Universidad de Chile)
AI consensus:2
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
24%
26%
50%
0:2
TM 2.5
Net
P2
Claude
25%
26%
49%
0:1
Under 3.5
No
Double chance X2 (draw or win Universidad de Chile)
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Union San Felipe15.9%17.0%
Draw21.8%21.8%draw risk
Universidad de Chile62.3%61.1%market and model agree
xG-0.82 : 1.98
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P217.0% / 21.8% / 61.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,298 / 1,470
CD Antofagasta (w) / Union La Calera (w)
RD196 / 173
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD907-1,690 / 1,125-1,816
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.45
market consensus · no value · model 61.1%
X4.16
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
15.82
market consensus · no value · model 17.0%
Double chance
121.18
market consensus · no value · model 78.2%
1X2.43
market consensus · no value · model 38.9%
X21.10
market consensus · no value · model 83.0%
Handicap
2 -11.77
market consensus · line only
1 +11.95
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.51.66
market consensus · line only
Under 2.52.10
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No1.89
market consensus · line only
Yes1.82
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
Outcome
10Bet
1xBet
Bet365
Betano
Betfair
BetVictor
5.4018.5%
6.6015.2%
5.2519.1%
5.7017.5%
5.5018.2%
6.5015.4%
X
4.1024.4%
4.1024.4%
4.1024.4%
4.4022.7%
4.2023.8%
4.2023.8%
1.5066.7%
1.4270.4%
1.4569.0%
1.5066.7%
1.4469.4%
1.4469.4%
Both teams to score
Outcome
Leon
no
1.8952.9%
yes
1.8255.0%
Double chance
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
12
1.1686.2%
1.1984.0%
1x
2.4540.8%
2.4041.7%
x2
1.0892.6%
1.1190.1%
Exact Score
Outcome
10Bet
0_0
12.008.3%
0_1
6.5015.4%
0_2
6.5015.4%
0_3
9.5010.5%
0_4
17.005.9%
0_5
34.002.9%
0_6
76.001.3%
1_0
13.007.7%
1_1
7.0014.3%
1_2
6.5015.4%
1_3
9.5010.5%
1_4
17.005.9%
1_5
34.002.9%
1_6
76.001.3%
2_0
26.003.9%
2_1
13.007.7%
2_2
13.007.7%
2_3
19.005.3%
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-1, avg 2.0 gls
2026-06-28 · San Felipe 0:2 Universidad de Chile
Source: ruscore
Odds · 4 bookmakers
Best price: 1 5.6 (Betcity) · X 4.2 (Betcity) · 2 1.51 (Winline)
Bookmaker
1
X
2
Pari
5.4
4
1.48
Winline
5.4
4
1.51
Fonbet
5.5
4.05
1.47
Betcity
5.6
4.2
1.51
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Union San Felipe
DW
2026-07-04Copa Chile 2026
Union San FelipeSan Felipe 1:1 Union La Calera
2026-02-01Copa Chile 2026
Union San FelipeSan Felipe 2:1 Santiago Wanderers
1Wins
1Draws
0Losses
1.5Scored
1.0Conceded
4Points
Universidad de Chile
WD
2026-07-05Copa Chile 2026
Santiago Wanderers 2:3 U de ChileUniversidad de Chile
2026-06-24Copa Chile 2026
Union La Calera 3:3 U de ChileUniversidad de Chile
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