Match center
Start
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
04.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
Chile: Copa Chile Standings
Magallanes - Palestino
M
Magallanes
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Magallanes - Palestino July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Palestino.
Line favourite market consensus: Palestino. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.45 / X 3.69 / 2 1.86
- 1X2 market: Magallanes 26.4% / X 24.7% / Palestino 48.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.8%
1
26.4%
X
24.7%
2
48.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Copa Chile
Best price
across 12 books
1
4.10
Bet365
X
4.10
Pinnacle
2
1.84
SBO
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Magallanes
W-D-L 2-2-6
Scored 1.00
Conceded 2.01
xG 1.22
xGA 1.36
Palestino
W-D-L 2-3-5
Scored 1.71
Conceded 2.04
xG 1.56
xGA 1.07
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Magallanes
Rating 1501
Palestino
Rating 1642
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Form and head-to-head • Chilean Cup
Team stats
Magallanes
LWLLWLWDLL
W 3 • D 1 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 2.1
4 place, 0 pts
Palestino
LWDDLWWLDL
W 3 • D 3 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.3
3 place, 4 pts
Head-to-head: 5 — Magallanes 2, draws 0, Palestino 3 (goals 8:11)
- Palestino — Magallanes2026-06-20 4:1
- Magallanes — Palestino2023-09-03 2:0
- Palestino — Magallanes2023-04-01 3:2
- Palestino — Magallanes2014-10-15 4:1
- Magallanes — Palestino2014-10-08 2:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Magallanes
Well rested- Rest days: 7
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Palestino
Well rested- Rest days: 4
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Magallanes | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | 60% |
| Average total | — | 2.8 |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | — | 80% |
| Matches counted | — | 5 |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
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Match center
Magallanes - Palestino
Form
0/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.03
Fonbet · line only
X
7.50
Fonbet · line only
1
3.48
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.05
Fonbet · line only
1X
8.50
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
2.33
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.55
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.70
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.11
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
5.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.20
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.28
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.35 29.9% | 3.58 27.9% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.50 28.6% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.95 25.3% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.80 26.3% |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.20 31.3% | 2.42 41.3% |
| yes | 1.28 78.1% | 1.50 66.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.05 95.2% |
| 1x | 1.81 55.3% | 1.84 54.4% | 8.50 11.8% |
| x2 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.01 99.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.18 23.9% | |
| X | 2.34 42.7% |
| 2.25 44.4% |
Match center
Palestino
L
Palestino
2:3
Audaks Italyano
Audaks Italyano
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMagallanes - Palestino
Magallanes
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals