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Chile: Copa Chile Standings
Chile: Copa Chile Standings
05.08.2026 22:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 22:00 UTC
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Chile: Copa Chile Standings

Santiago Wanderers - Union La Calera

Football
S
Santiago Wanderers
- : -
Not started
Union La Calera
Union La Calera

Santiago Wanderers take on Union La Calera on August 5, 2026 in the Chile: Copa Chile Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Santiago Wanderers 0-0-1, Union La Calera 1-1-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Union La Calera — 46%

Pure model vs market (2 · Union La Calera): model 26% · market 48% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Santiago Wanderers28.2%
X · draw25.4%
2 · Union La Calera46.4%

Model estimate: win Santiago Wanderers 28.2%, draw 25.4%, win Union La Calera 46.4%. Model favourite — Union La Calera.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Santiago Wanderers (odds2.17) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Santyago Vanderers: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.17)
  • • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santiago Wanderers - Union La Calera August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Union La Calera. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.54 / X 3.80 / 2 1.94

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9% 3 books · best price +1.0%
1 26.7%
X 25.6%
2 47.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Copa Chile
League table
Santiago Wanderers
#293 ptsGP 51-0-47:14
Union La Calera
#148 ptsGP 52-2-19:6
Best price across 9 books
1 3.90 Bet365
X 3.70 Pinnacle
2 1.99 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Santiago Wanderers
W-D-L 3-0-7 Scored 1.57 Conceded 2.65 xG 1.18 xGA 1.44
Union La Calera
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.28 Conceded 1.38 xG 1.19 xGA 1.29

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Santiago Wanderers
Rating 1477
Union La Calera
Rating 1655

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 23:35 UTC
1 25%
X 33%
2 42% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:X2
Per AI data H2H: 0-4
Claude updated03.08.2026 23:38 UTC
1 26%
X 25%
2 49% ✓ favourite
Score0:1 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance X2 (draw or win Union La Kalera)
Per AI data H2H: 0-4

AI consensus:2

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 25% 33% 42% 1:2 Over 2.5 Yes X2
Claude 26% 25% 49% 0:1 Under 3.5 No Double chance X2 (draw or win Union La Kalera)

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 26.6% @ 3.54 / X 24.8% @ 3.80 / 2 48.6% @ 1.94
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Union La Calera 46%
📐 Math model Union La Calera 46%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Santiago Wanderers - Union La Calera

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Santiago Wanderers 26.7% 28.2%
Draw 25.6% 25.4% draw risk
Union La Calera 47.8% 46.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.2% / 25.4% / 46.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,654 / 1,486 San Marcos Arica (w) / Union La Calera
RD 202 / 160 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,250-2,057 / 1,166-1,806 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.92 market consensus · no value · model 46.4%
X 3.60 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.43 market consensus · no value · model 28.2%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 74.6%
1X 1.76 market consensus · no value · model 53.6%
X2 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 71.8%
Handicap
2 0 1.46 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.01 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.74 57.5% 1.77 56.5%
x2 1.24 80.7% 1.29 77.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.98 25.1%
X 2.19 45.7%
2.48 40.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.77 56.5%
Under 1 1.95 51.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 4.0 gls
2026-06-28 · Santyago Vonderers 0:4 Union La-Kalera
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 5 (Fonbet) · X 3.8 (Betcity) · 2 1.96 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 3.3 3.65 1.85
Winline 3.55 3.25 1.96
Fonbet 5 3.5 1.6
Betcity 3.3 3.8 1.94
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Santiago Wanderers
L
05.07 14:30 UTC Chile: Copa Chile Standings
Santiago Wanderers 2:3 Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Union La Calera
D W
04.07 17:00 UTC Chile: Copa Chile Standings
Union La Calera 1:1 San-Felipe
01.07 22:30 UTC Chile: Copa Chile Standings
Union La Calera 1:0 Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points