Santiago Wanderers take on Union La Calera on August 5, 2026 in the Chile: Copa Chile Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Santiago Wanderers 0-0-1, Union La Calera 1-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Union La Calera the favourite at about 47%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Union La Calera — 46%
Pure model vs market (2 · Union La Calera): model 26% · market 47%Δ −21 ppmodel estimates below the market
46%2
1 · Santiago Wanderers28.1%
X · draw26.1%
2 · Union La Calera45.8%
Model estimate: win Santiago Wanderers 28.1%, draw 26.1%, win Union La Calera 45.8%. Model favourite — Union La Calera.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
Copa Chile
League table
Santiago Wanderers
#293 ptsGP 51-0-47:14
Union La Calera
#158 ptsGP 52-2-19:6
Best price
across 12 books
13.90Bet365
X3.80Pinnacle
22.00William Hill
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Santiago Wanderers
Rating 1477xG 0.99Win 23%
Union La Calera
Rating 1655xG 1.65Win 53%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Santiago Wanderers1:2Union La Calera
15.38
X4.20
21.48
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 23:35 UTC
125%
X33%
242%✓ favourite
Score1:2Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:X2
Per AI dataH2H: 0-4
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 23:38 UTC
126%
X25%
249%✓ favourite
Score0:1Total goals: Under 3.5BTTS:NoBet:Double chance X2 (draw or win Union La Kalera)
Per AI dataH2H: 0-4
AI consensus:2
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
25%
33%
42%
1:2
Over 2.5
Yes
X2
Claude
26%
25%
49%
0:1
Under 3.5
No
Double chance X2 (draw or win Union La Kalera)
Buy the full AI analysis
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Santiago Wanderers26.6%28.1%
Draw26.3%26.1%draw risk
Union La Calera47.1%45.8%market and model agree
xG-0.99 : 1.65
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P228.1% / 26.1% / 45.8%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,654 / 1,486
San Marcos Arica (w) / Union La Calera
RD202 / 160
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,250-2,057 / 1,166-1,806
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
21.93
market consensus · no value · model 45.8%
X3.44
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
13.49
market consensus · no value · model 28.1%
Double chance
121.23
market consensus · no value · model 73.9%
1X1.79
market consensus · no value · model 54.2%
X21.25
market consensus · no value · model 71.9%
Handicap
2 -12.65
market consensus · line only
2 01.47
market consensus · line only
1 +11.44
market consensus · line only
1 02.49
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.51.81
market consensus · line only
Under 2.51.92
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No2.03
market consensus · line only
Yes1.70
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
Outcome
10Bet
1xBet
Bet365
Betano
Betfair
BetVictor
3.3529.9%
3.4029.4%
3.9025.6%
3.6527.4%
3.3030.3%
3.6027.8%
X
3.4029.4%
3.5428.3%
3.1032.3%
3.4529.0%
3.5028.6%
3.5028.6%
1.9551.3%
1.9152.4%
1.9551.3%
1.9850.5%
1.9152.4%
1.9351.8%
Both teams to score
Outcome
Leon
no
2.0349.3%
yes
1.7058.8%
Double chance
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
12
1.2480.7%
1.2282.0%
1x
1.8055.6%
1.7756.5%
x2
1.2182.6%
1.2977.5%
Exact Score
Outcome
10Bet
0_0
9.5010.5%
0_1
6.5015.4%
0_2
8.5011.8%
0_3
15.006.7%
0_4
34.002.9%
0_5
76.001.3%
0_6
101.001.0%
1_0
9.5010.5%
1_1
6.0016.7%
1_2
7.0014.3%
1_3
12.008.3%
1_4
29.003.5%
1_5
67.001.5%
1_6
126.000.8%
2_0
15.006.7%
2_1
9.5010.5%
2_2
11.009.1%
2_3
19.005.3%
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-1, avg 4.0 gls
2026-06-28 · Santyago Vonderers 0:4 Union La-Kalera
Source: ruscore
Odds · 4 bookmakers
Best price: 1 5 (Fonbet) · X 3.8 (Betcity) · 2 1.96 (Winline)
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Universidad de Chile