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Chile. Serie B
Chile. Serie B
01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Not started

Chile. Serie B

Antofagasta - Union San Felipe

Football
A
Antofagasta
- : -
Not started
U
Union San Felipe

Antofagasta face Union San Felipe on August 1, 2026 in the Chile. Serie B.

Recent form (W-D-L): Antofagasta 0-0-2, Union San Felipe 0-1-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Antofagasta — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Antofagasta): model 54% · market 58% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Antofagasta ✓ Pick58.1%
market58%
X · draw22.7%
market23%
2 · Union San Felipe19.2%
market19%

Model estimate: win Antofagasta 58.1%, draw 22.7%, win Union San Felipe 19.2%. Model favourite — Antofagasta.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Antofagasta (odds1.56) Score 2:1 confidence 54%
  • • Model backs Antofagasta: probability 54% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Antofagasta - Union San Felipe August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Antofagasta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / X 4.00 / 2 4.84

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 57.8%
X 23.1%
2 19.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Antofagasta
#823 ptsGP 166-5-524:19
Union San Felipe
#1416 ptsGP 164-4-813:29
Best price across 12 books
1 1.62 Betano
X 4.05 Pinnacle
2 5.40 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Antofagasta
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.49 xGA 1.25
Union San Felipe
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.80 xG 1.08 xGA 1.54

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Antofagasta
Rating 1513 xG 1.66 Win 55%
Union San Felipe
Rating 1400 xG 0.91 Win 21%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 57.8% @ 1.60 / X 23.1% @ 4.00 / 2 19.1% @ 4.84
Match center

Antofagasta - Union San Felipe

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Antofagasta 58.4% 58.1% market and model agree
Draw 22.8% 22.7% draw risk
Union San Felipe 18.9% 19.2%
xG - 1.69 : 0.85

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.1% / 22.7% / 19.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,530 / 1,343 Antofagasta / CD Antofagasta (w)
RD 211 / 216 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,108-1,951 / 910-1,775 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.81 market consensus · no value · model 19.2%
X 3.96 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 58.1%
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 77.3%
1X 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 80.8%
X2 2.15 market consensus · no value · model 41.9%
Handicap
2 +1 1.74 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.01 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0%
x2 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.10 47.6%
X 2.24 44.6%
5.30 18.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.66 60.2%
Under 1 2.09 47.9%
Match center
Antofagasta
L L
26.07 14:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Antofagasta 2:3 Deportes Puerto-MonttDeportes Puerto-Montt
01.06 21:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Antofagasta 0:1 Kuriko Yunido
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Union San Felipe
L D
25.07 14:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Union San Felipe 0:2 Santyago Vanderers
08.06 21:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Union San Felipe 2:2 Union Espanola
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points