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Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings

31.07.2026 21:30 UTC

Not started

Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings

Curico Unido - Cobreloa

Football

Curico Unido

- : -

Not started

Cobreloa

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Cobreloa — 35%

Pure model vs market (2 · Cobreloa): model 31% · market 36% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Curico Unido34.4%

X · draw30.3%

2 · Cobreloa35.3%

Model estimate: win Curico Unido 34.4%, draw 30.3%, win Cobreloa 35.3%. Model favourite — Cobreloa.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Curico Unido (odds2.05) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Kuriko Yunido: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
• legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Curico Unido - Cobreloa July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Cobreloa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.12 / 2 2.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%

1 33.8%

X 30.1%

2 36.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B

League table

Curico Unido

#1218 ptsGP 164-6-617:26

ARRAY

Cobreloa

#132 ptsGP 169-5-234:19

ARRAY

Best price across 12 books

1 2.95 Unibet

X 3.30 Bet365

2 2.50 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Curico Unido

W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.22 xGA 1.36

Cobreloa

W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.11 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.46 xGA 1.16

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Curico Unido

Rating 1445 xG 1.06 Win 29%

Cobreloa

Rating 1600 xG 1.40 Win 45%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 21:30 UTC

Market 1 33.8% @ 2.78 / X 30.1% @ 3.12 / 2 36.1% @ 2.60

Match center

Curico Unido - Cobreloa

Form 3/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Curico Unido 33.7% 34.4%

Draw 30.8% 30.3% draw risk

Cobreloa 35.6% 35.3% market and model agree

xG - 1.06 : 1.40

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 34.4% / 30.3% / 35.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,610 / 1,561 Kuriko Yunido / Kobreloa

RD 194 / 239 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,222-1,998 / 1,083-2,039 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.52 market consensus · no value · model 35.3%

X 3.03 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.74 market consensus · no value · model 34.4%

Double chance

12 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 69.7%

1X 1.42 market consensus · no value · model 64.7%

X2 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 65.6%

Handicap

2 0 1.77 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.95 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.96 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.96 51.0%
yes	1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.30 76.9%	1.34 74.6%
1x	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%
x2	1.36 73.5%	1.39 71.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.65 27.4%
X	1.96 51.0%
	3.06 32.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.96 51.0%
Under 1	1.76 56.8%

Match center

Curico Unido

L W W

25.07 17:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings

Curico Unido 1:2 San-Luis

08.06 21:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings

Curico Unido 1:0 Deportes Temuko

01.06 21:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings

Curico Unido 1:0 Antofagasta

2 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.7 Conceded

6 Points

Cobreloa

L W

25.07 19:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings

Cobreloa 1:2 Santa-Kruz

31.05 19:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings

Cobreloa 2:0 Reyndzhers De Talka

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.5 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCurico Unido - Cobreloa

Curico Unido

0 matches total

Cobreloa

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Curico Unido - Cobreloa

AI match prediction Curico Unido - Cobreloa July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Curico Unido - Cobreloa

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history