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Chile. Serie B
Chile. Serie B
31.07.2026 21:30 UTC
31.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Not started

Chile. Serie B

Deportes Santa Cruz - San Marcos Arica (w)

Football
D
Deportes Santa Cruz
- : -
Not started
S
San Marcos Arica (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Deportes Santa Cruz — 53%

1 · Deportes Santa Cruz53.1%
X · draw19.7%
2 · San Marcos Arica (w)27.2%

Model estimate: win Deportes Santa Cruz 53.1%, draw 19.7%, win San Marcos Arica (w) 27.2%. Model favourite — Deportes Santa Cruz.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Deportes Santa Cruz (odds2.32) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Santa-Kruz: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.32)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportes Santa Cruz - San Marcos Arica (w) July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportes Santa Cruz 3 : 1 San Marcos Arica (w)
11.82
X3.22
24.18

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 21:30 UTC
Match center

Deportes Santa Cruz - San Marcos Arica (w)

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Deportes Santa Cruz - 53.1% model pick
Draw - 19.7% draw risk
San Marcos Arica (w) - 27.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.1% / 19.7% / 27.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,543 / 1,515 Deportes Santa Cruz / San Marcos Arica (w)
RD 154 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,235-1,850 / 1,037-1,993 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Deportes Santa Cruz
W W D
25.07 19:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Deportes Santa Cruz 2:1 Kobreloa
06.06 22:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Deportes Santa Cruz 1:0 Reyndzhers De Talka
01.06 21:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Deportes Santa Cruz 1:1 Kopiapo
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points
San Marcos Arica (w)
W
25.07 14:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
San Marcos Arica (w) 2:0 San-Felipe
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points