Chile. Serie B
Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers
Deportes Santa Cruz meet Santiago Wanderers on August 2, 2026 in the Chile. Serie B.
Recent form (W-D-L): Deportes Santa Cruz 2-1-0, Santiago Wanderers 1-0-0. The bookmaker line makes Deportes Santa Cruz the favourite at about 37%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Deportes Santa Cruz — 37%
Pure model vs market (1 · Deportes Santa Cruz): model 42% · market 37% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Deportes Santa Cruz 36.9%, draw 26.9%, win Santiago Wanderers 36.2%. Model favourite — Deportes Santa Cruz.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Santa-Kruz: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.32)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportes Santa Cruz.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.46 / X 3.33 / 2 2.53
- 1X2 market: Deportes Santa Cruz 36.9% / X 27.3% / Santiago Wanderers 35.8%
- Glicko: Deportes Santa Cruz 36.9% / X 26.9% / Santiago Wanderers 36.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera BHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 40.0% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | |
| X | 3.40 29.4% | 3.42 29.2% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 2.50 40.0% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.60 38.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.12 47.2% |
| yes | 1.64 61.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.51 66.2% | 1.55 64.5% |
| x2 | 1.37 73.0% | 1.41 70.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 0_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_1 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_1 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 2_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_3 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 2_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 2_5 | 126.00 0.8% |
Deportes Santa Cruz
Full head-to-head historyDeportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form