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Chile. Serie B
Chile. Serie B
01.08.2026 21:30 UTC
Finished

Chile. Serie B

Curico Unido - Cobreloa

Football
C
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Finished
C
Cobreloa

Curico Unido meet Cobreloa on August 1, 2026 in the Chile. Serie B.

Recent form (W-D-L): Curico Unido 2-2-1, Cobreloa 3-1-1. The market favourite is Curico Unido at roughly 36%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win — broadly in line with the market. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Curico Unido37%

Pure model vs market (1 · Curico Unido): model 46% · market 36% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Curico Unido36.6%
X · draw29.1%
2 · Cobreloa34.4%

Model estimate: win Curico Unido 36.6%, draw 29.1%, win Cobreloa 34.4%. Model favourite — Curico Unido.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Curico Unido (odds2.05) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Kuriko Yunido: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
  • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Curico Unido - Cobreloa August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Curico Unido.

Strongest: Curico Unido - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 3.08 / 2 2.62
  • 1X2 market: Curico Unido 35.8% / X 29.5% / Cobreloa 34.7%
  • Glicko: Curico Unido 36.6% / X 29.1% / Cobreloa 34.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 35.9%
X 29.5%
2 34.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Curico Unido
#1218 ptsGP 164-6-617:26
Cobreloa
#132 ptsGP 169-5-234:19
Best price across 13 books
1 2.75 Unibet
X 3.25 Bet365
2 2.75 Superbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Curico Unido
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.22 xGA 1.36
Cobreloa
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.11 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.46 xGA 1.16

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Curico Unido
Rating 1445 xG 1.14 Win 33%
Cobreloa
Rating 1600 xG 1.30 Win 40%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Curico Unido 1 : 3 Cobreloa
12.42
X2.96
22.79

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 21:30 UTC
Market 1 35.9% @ 2.53 / X 29.5% @ 3.08 / 2 34.6% @ 2.62
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Curico Unido 37%
💹 Market Curico Unido 3583%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Curico Unido - Cobreloa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Curico Unido 35.9% 36.6% market and model agree
Draw 29.5% 29.1% draw risk
Cobreloa 34.6% 34.4%
xG - 1.14 : 1.30
1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 36.6% / 29.1% / 34.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,610 / 1,561 Curico Unido / Cobreloa
RD 194 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,222-1,998 / 1,083-2,039 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.00 Fonbet · no value · model 34.4%
X 1.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 7.20 Fonbet · no value · model 36.6%
Double chance
12 3.80 Fonbet · weak value +169.6% · model 70.9%
1X 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 65.6%
X2 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 63.4%
Handicap
2 0 2.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.45 40.8% 2.54 39.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.57 38.9% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.20 31.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.63 38.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.02 98.0% 2.00 50.0%
yes 10.00 10.0% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 3.80 26.3%
1x 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.06 94.3%
x2 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.07 93.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.50 11.8%
0_1 7.00 14.3%
0_2 11.00 9.1%
0_3 23.00 4.4%
0_4 61.00 1.6%
0_5 126.00 0.8%
1_0 7.00 14.3%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 46.00 2.2%
1_5 126.00 0.8%
2_0 10.00 10.0%
2_1 8.00 12.5%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 26.00 3.9%
2_4 61.00 1.6%
3_0 23.00 4.4%
Match center
Curico Unido
L D D W W
2026-07-25 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Curico Unido Curico Unido 1:2 San Luis Quillota
2026-07-05 Copa Chile 2026, Group F
Curico Unido Nublense 2:2 Curico Unido
2026-06-28 Copa Chile 2026, Group F
Curico Unido Curico Unido 2:2 Universidad Concepcion
2026-06-21 Copa Chile 2026, Group F
Curico Unido Curico Unido 1:0 Nublense
2026-06-08 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Curico Unido Deportes Temuco 0:1 Curico Unido
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Cobreloa
W W D L W
2026-07-25 Liga de Ascenso 2026
Cobreloa 4:2 Deportes Santa Cruz Cobreloa
2026-07-12 Copa Chile 2026, Group C
Cobreloa 1:0 La Serena Cobreloa
2026-07-05 Copa Chile 2026, Group C
Cobresal 2:2 Cobreloa Cobreloa
2026-06-28 Copa Chile 2026, Group C
La Serena 2:1 Cobreloa Cobreloa
2026-06-20 Copa Chile 2026, Group C
Cobreloa 2:0 Cobresal Cobreloa
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCurico Unido - Cobreloa

Curico Unido
0 matches total
Cobreloa
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history