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Chile. Serie B
Chile. Serie B
06.06.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Chile. Serie B

Rangers Talca - Deportes Santa Cruz

Football
R
Rangers Talca
0 : 1
Finished
D
Deportes Santa Cruz

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rangers Talca - Deportes Santa Cruz June 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rangers Talca.

Line favourite market consensus: Rangers Talca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.27 / 2 3.32
  • 1X2 market: Rangers Talca 44.8% / X 27.8% / Deportes Santa Cruz 27.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 44.7%
X 27.9%
2 27.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Rangers Talca
#163 ptsGP 150-3-1211:28
Deportes Santa Cruz
#1512 ptsGP 152-6-719:26
Best price across 13 books
1 2.40 Superbet
X 3.50 Bet365
2 3.25 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Rangers Talca
W-D-L 0-2-8 Scored 0.99 Conceded 2.10 xG 1.19 xGA 1.35
1 -6.00 X -2.90 2 +6.25 1 (DNB) -5.00
Deportes Santa Cruz
W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 1.49 Conceded 2.00 xG 1.27 xGA 1.24
1 -6.62 X +4.50 2 +2.85 1 (DNB) -3.30

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Rangers Talca
Rating 1319
Deportes Santa Cruz
Rating 1389

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

football.main.1x2: p1

odds 2.40 hist. ROI +8.3%

Value Superbet HOME @ 2.40 (EV +8%, Pinnacle fair 45%)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

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Match center
Start 06.06.2026 22:30 UTC
Match center

Rangers Talca - Deportes Santa Cruz

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
X 5.60 Fonbet · line only
1 2.04 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 6.60 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.24 30.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
3.40 29.4% 3.34 29.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.30 76.9%
yes 3.10 32.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.10 90.9%
1x 6.60 15.2%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
10.50 9.5%
12.00 8.3%
9.50 10.5%
11.50 8.7%
10.50 9.5%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.02 98.0%
Match center
Rangers Talca
L
31.05 19:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Rangers Talca 0:2 Kobreloa
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Deportes Santa Cruz
D
01.06 21:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Deportes Santa Cruz 1:1 Kopiapo
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points