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Chile. Serie B
Chile. Serie B
02.08.2026 21:30 UTC
Not started

Chile. Serie B

Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers

Football
Deportes Santa Cruz
Deportes Santa Cruz
- : -
Not started
S
Santiago Wanderers

Deportes Santa Cruz meet Santiago Wanderers on August 2, 2026 in the Chile. Serie B.

Recent form (W-D-L): Deportes Santa Cruz 2-1-0, Santiago Wanderers 1-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Deportes Santa Cruz37%

Pure model vs market (1 · Deportes Santa Cruz): model 45% · market 40% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Deportes Santa Cruz37.5%
X · draw25.5%
2 · Santiago Wanderers37.0%

Model estimate: win Deportes Santa Cruz 37.5%, draw 25.5%, win Santiago Wanderers 37.0%. Model favourite — Deportes Santa Cruz.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Deportes Santa Cruz (odds2.32) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Santa-Kruz: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.32)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportes Santa Cruz. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.34 / X 3.60 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 39.7%
X 25.8%
2 34.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Deportes Santa Cruz
#1512 ptsGP 162-6-821:30
Santiago Wanderers
#229 ptsGP 168-5-331:18
Best price across 13 books
1 2.57 Betano
X 3.63 Pinnacle
2 2.60 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Deportes Santa Cruz
W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.23 xGA 1.34
Santiago Wanderers
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.30 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.37 xGA 1.30

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Deportes Santa Cruz
Rating 1387 xG 1.16 Win 33%
Santiago Wanderers
Rating 1569 xG 1.29 Win 39%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportes Santa Cruz 1 : 1 Santiago Wanderers
12.27
X3.22
22.85

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 21:30 UTC
Market 1 39.7% @ 2.34 / X 25.8% @ 3.60 / 2 34.4% @ 2.70
Match center

Deportes Santa Cruz - Santiago Wanderers

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Deportes Santa Cruz 37.0% 37.5% Glicko contrarian
Draw 25.7% 25.5% draw risk
Santiago Wanderers 37.3% 37.0% market favourite
xG - 1.15 : 1.30

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 37.5% / 25.5% / 37.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,543 / 1,515 Deportes Santa Cruz / San Marcos Arica (w)
RD 154 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,234-1,851 / 1,037-1,993 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.67 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 37.0%
X 3.54 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.32 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 37.5%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 74.5%
1X 1.39 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 63.0%
X2 1.52 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 62.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.98 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.37 73.0% 1.41 70.9%
x2 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.93 34.1%
X 2.17 46.1%
3.24 30.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.74 57.5%
Under 1 1.97 50.8%
Match center
Deportes Santa Cruz
W W D
25.07 19:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Deportes Santa Cruz 2:1 Kobreloa
06.06 22:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Deportes Santa Cruz 1:0 Reyndzhers De Talka
01.06 21:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Deportes Santa Cruz 1:1 Kopiapo
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points
Santiago Wanderers
W
25.07 14:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Ascenso Standings
Santiago Wanderers 2:0 San-Felipe
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points